Understanding volatility: 'in the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine' – Ben Graham

Ben Graham's words could bring comfort to investors during these volatile markets.

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If you've been watching the ASX lately, you've probably felt a few stomach turns (and a big one on Monday!).

Trade war headlines, tariff threats, and geopolitical noise have triggered another wave of volatility — and for many investors, it is an uncomfortable ride.

But long before 24-hour news channels, social media, and trading apps, legendary investor Ben Graham had already nailed what we're seeing today. He said:

In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine.

It is a quote that's been repeated thousands of times — especially by one of Graham's most famous students, Warren Buffett. And it has arguably never felt more relevant for ASX share investors than right now.

What Ben Graham really meant

In the short term, the market moves on sentiment. Fear, hype, headlines, and momentum — all of these factors can push prices far above or below what a company is really worth.

That's the "voting machine" at play. It is noisy, emotional, and unpredictable.

But over the long haul, fundamentals shine through. Companies are eventually valued based on their actual earnings power, cash flows, and underlying quality. That's the "weighing machine" — and it moves much slower, but with far more accuracy.

For investors getting whiplash from recent market swings, this wisdom offers a valuable perspective.

Volatility doesn't equal risk

Ben Graham also taught that volatility isn't the same as risk. A share price falling doesn't automatically mean a company is in trouble. It might just mean the market is in one of its moods.

The real risk is paying too much for a weak business — not short-term price moves in a strong one. That's why Graham believed in buying companies with a "margin of safety."

In other words, give yourself room for error by buying below what a business is worth when possible.

Buffett's approach during rough patches

Warren Buffett took these lessons to heart and built his investing philosophy around them. He doesn't panic when the market tumbles. Instead, he looks for quality businesses trading at fair or discounted prices — and buys them for the long term for Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B).

That mindset is especially useful during volatile periods like now. If anything, Buffett has said that market dips should be viewed as an opportunity, not a threat — as long as you're investing in the right companies.

On the ASX, this might mean shares such as Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO), ResMed Inc. (ASX: RMD), or Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) – strong businesses being dragged lower by volatility.

Foolish takeaway

The current volatility in ASX shares may be unnerving, but it is also perfectly normal. Markets react quickly to uncertainty — especially when trade wars and global tensions are involved. But that doesn't mean long-term investors should follow the crowd.

Ben Graham's quote reminds us that in the short run, the market reflects popularity. In the long run, it reflects value.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in ResMed and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Berkshire Hathaway, Macquarie Group, ResMed, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group, ResMed, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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