Aristocrat shares are down 15% this month. Time to jump in?

Does a 15% drop make a value stock?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The past month hasn't been a kind one for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) and most ASX 200 shares. The shares of gaming stock Aristocrat Leisure Ltd (ASX: ALL) are no different. 

This time last month, Aristocrat was going for $77.75 a share.

Today, those same shares are asking just $65.89 each at the time of writing. That's down 0.87% this session thus far, and down a nasty 15.25% over the past month. For some context, the ASX 200 has dropped by around 7.3% over the same period.

There hasn't been much in the way of fresh news or announcements out of Aristocrat lately that might easily explain this dramatic drop in value. Saying that, Aristocrat shares are still sitting on a 12-month gain of 48.4%, so there was arguably a lot of padding under this company's share price.

Aristocrat is also one of the ASX's best long-term winners. Over the past five years, investors have enjoyed a 277% gain from this company, which extends even further if we include dividend returns. If you were lucky enough to pick up Aristocrat shares back in late 2011 for $2 each, you'd be sitting on a gain worth more than 3,100% today.

Check all of this out for yourself below:

So, given the ASX 200 stock's long-term track record and recent pullback, many investors, particularly those of value persuasion, might be wondering whether Aristocrat is a buy today.

A man stands with his arms folded in front of banks of unused poker machines in a darkened gaming room.

Image source: Getty Images

Are Aristocrat Leisure shares a buy today after a 15% drop?

Firstly, although a 15% drop is notable, it only reverses some of the company's most recent gains. To illustrate, you could buy these shares as recently as November for what they are currently going for. And back then, the current price was Aristocrat's all-time high. 

Even so, one ASX expert reckons there is plenty of value to be found at current prices.

Just this morning, my Fool colleague dove into the views of ASX broker Bell Potter.

Bell Potter reckons Aristocrat is still a buy, thanks to the company's perceived long-term growth trajectory. Along with a buy rating on Aristocrat shares, the ASX broker gave the company a 12-month share price target of $85. If this does come to pass, it would see Aristocrat gain a huge 29.5% from where the shares sit today.

No doubt investors will be giddy to hear that. But let's wait and see if Bell Potter is on the money here.

At the current Aristocrat Leisure share price, this ASX 200 gaming stock is trading on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.4, with a dividend yield of 0.99%.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woman customer and grocery shopping cart in supermarket store, retail outlet or mall shop. Female shopper pushing trolley in shelf aisle to buy discount groceries, sale goods and brand offers.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Woolworths shares for the 'steady dividends'?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for Woolworths rebounding shares.

Read more »

A close up of a casino card dealer's hands shuffling a deck of cards at a professional gambling table with the eager faces of casino patrons in the background.
Share Gainers

Why is everyone buying Tabcorp shares this week?

Here's what is driving the latest price momentum for Tabcorp shares, and what to expect next.

Read more »

A group of people clink wine glasses in an outdoor, late afternoon setting to celebrate the rising Treasury Wine share price
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Treasury Wine shares rocketing 16% today?

Investors are piling into Treasury Wine shares on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A happy couple drinking red wine in a vineyard.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Treasury Wine Estates improves depletions and unveils regional model

Treasury Wine Estates improves depletions momentum and announces a new global operating model alongside key leadership changes.

Read more »

Woman chooses vegetables for dinner, smiling and looking at camera.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy Coles shares today

A leading analyst expects Coles shares are well-placed to outperform. But why?

Read more »

A woman looks quizzical while looking at a dollar sign in the air.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Is the Coles share price an opportunity too good to pass up?

Could Coles be a strong performer in the coming months?

Read more »

A woman in jeans and a casual jumper leans on her car and looks seriously at her mobile phone while her vehicle is charged at an electic vehicle recharging station.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why fuel prices could be quietly powering this ASX car stock higher

But it’s not a simple case of “EV demand up, share price up”.

Read more »

A group of three young men sit on a sofa in a home environment with a bowl of popcorn and beer bottles in front of them cheering on one of their teams on a phone.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guess which ASX stock is closing in on its multi-year high

Tabcorp shares are back near their highs after a strong 12-month run.

Read more »