After a 5% price drop on its 2024 results, should I buy shares in this ASX 200 heavyweight?

Is now a good time to put money into this giant's shares? Let's find out.

| More on:
Business people discussing project on digital tablet.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) share price has been having a rough time in recent weeks.

So much so, the ASX 200 heavyweight has lost 5% of its value since the release of its full year results last month.

Those results were a bit of a mixed bag with positives and negatives. The former includes surging copper earnings, whereas the latter includes falling profits and a sizeable dividend cut.

If you want to delve deeper into what the miner reported, you can read about its results here.

But with the results out of the way and its shares trading lower, is now an opportunity for investors to hit the buy button? Let's see what one leading broker is saying about the country's second largest miner.

Is the Rio Tinto share price in the buy zone?

The team at Goldman Sachs thinks that Rio Tinto's shares would be a top pick for investors today.

In fact, the broker believes that buyers at current levels could generate big returns over the next 12 months.

According to a note from last month, its analysts responded to Rio Tinto's full year results by retaining their buy rating with a trimmed price target of $143.70.

Based on the current Rio Tinto share price of $116.56, this implies potential upside of 23% for investors between now and this time next year.

In addition, some attractive and growing fully franked dividend yields are forecast in the near term.

Goldman has pencilled in dividends per share of US$4.30 (A$6.93) in FY 2025, US$4.31 (A$6.95) in FY 2026, and US$4.73 (A$7.63) in FY 2027. This equates to dividend yields of 5.9%, 6%, and 6.5%, respectively.

All in all, this means that a total potential 12-month return of approximately 29% could be on offer here according to the broker.

Why is it tipping this ASX 200 heavyweight as a buy?

The note reveals that there are a number of reasons why it thinks investors should be buying the miner's shares.

One of those reasons is its exposure to hottest commodity in the world this year, copper. It said:

FCF/dividend yield of ~6% in 2025E and ~8%/~6% in 2026E driven by our bullish view on aluminium and copper (~45-50% of group EBITDA by 2026).

In addition, the broker highlights the attractive valuation of the Rio Tinto share price compared to peers. It adds:

Relative valuation: trading at c. ~0.7x NAV (A$163.4/sh) vs. peers (BHP ~0.8x NAV and FMG ~1.1x NAV) and c. ~5.5x NTM EBITDA at GSe base case, below the historical average of ~6-7x.

Overall, this could make it worth considering the mining giant if you are looking for exposure to this side of the share market.

Should you invest $1,000 in Vaneck Investments Limited - Vaneck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat Etf right now?

Before you buy Vaneck Investments Limited - Vaneck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat Etf shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Vaneck Investments Limited - Vaneck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat Etf wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.
Materials Shares

Why are Fortescue shares charging higher today?

What is getting investors excited today? Let's find out.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Materials Shares

What does Macquarie think Liontown Resources shares are worth?

Let's see if analysts think that this lithium miner is in the buy zone or best avoided.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Materials Shares

Lynas shares charge higher on big news

What is getting investors excited today? Let's find out.

Read more »

Lion holding and screaming into a yellow loudspeaker on a blue background, symbolising an announcement from Liontown.
Materials Shares

Liontown Resources shares roar higher on big news

This lithium miner is catching the eye with some big news. Here's what is happening.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

What does Macquarie think BHP shares are worth?

Is now a good time to buy the miner's shares? Let's find out.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Materials Shares

What does Macquarie think Pilbara Minerals shares are worth?

Is this lithium miner dirt cheap? Let's find out.

Read more »

Two miners standing together.
Materials Shares

Is it time to buy this beaten down lithium share?

This diversified miner’s share price has been hit on multiple fronts. What does it mean for investors?

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Pilbara Minerals share price falls on 30% quarterly revenue slump

ASX investors are bidding down Pilbara Minerals shares on Thursday. Here’s why.

Read more »