5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

It looks set to be a good start to the week for Aussie investors.

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended a tough week deep in the red. The benchmark index sank 1.15% to 8,172.4 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to rebound

The Australian share market looks set to rebound on Monday following a strong session on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 48 points or 0.6% higher. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 1.4%, the S&P 500 rose 1.6%, and the Nasdaq charged 1.1% higher.

Oil prices fall

It could be a poor start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices fell on Friday. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 0.85% to US$69.76 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was down 1% to US$72.81 a barrel. This was first monthly drop since November after trade tariffs weighed on prices.

Life360 shares rated as a buy

Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) shares can keep rising according to analysts at Bell Potter. According to a note, the broker has responded to its full year results by retaining its buy rating with an improved price target of $28.00. Based on its current share price, this implies potential upside of 20% for investors. It said: "We have upgraded our revenue forecasts in 2025 and 2026 by 3% and 4%. We now forecast 2025 revenue of US$466m which is around the middle of the guidance range. We have also upgraded our adjusted EBITDA forecasts by 21% and 20% and now forecast 2025 adjusted EBITDA of US$70m which again is close to the middle of the guidance range. […] Key short term focus now is on whether Life360 gains entry into the S&P/ASX 100 or not."

Gold price drops

ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a poor start to the week after the gold price dropped on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was down 1% to US$2,867.3 an ounce. This was driven by a stronger US dollar and led to the precious metal having its worst week in three months.

Shares going ex-dividend

A number of ASX 200 shares will be going ex-dividend on Monday and could drop into the red. This includes rail freight operator Aurizon Holdings Ltd (ASX: AZJ), pizza chain operator Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP), and insurance broker Steadfast Group Ltd (ASX: SDF). The latter is paying a fully franked 7.8 cents per share dividend to its shareholders later this month on 27 March.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Domino's Pizza Enterprises, Life360, and Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises, Life360, and Steadfast Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Steadfast Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Aurizon and Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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