5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

It looks set to be a difficult start to the week for Aussie investors.

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended a tough week in the red. The benchmark index fell 0.3% to 8,296.2 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to sink

The Australian share market looks set to sink on Monday following a selloff on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 64 points or 0.75% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 1.7%, the S&P 500 fell 1.7%, and the Nasdaq sank 2.2%.

Oil prices tumble

It looks set to be a tough start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices tumbled on Friday. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 3% to US$70.25 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was down 2.7% to US$74.43 a barrel. This was driven by a fading Middle East risk premium and an uptick in US crude oil stockpiles.

Block shares to crash

Block Inc (ASX: XYZ) shares are likely to crash deep into the red on Monday after Wall Street responded poorly to its results release. The payments giant's NYSE shares ended the session almost 18% lower. This could mean a double digit decline for its ASX shares, building on their 6% decline on Friday. Speaking of results, Iress Ltd (ASX: IRE), Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX: LOV), and NIB Holdings Limited (ASX: NHF) are releasing their half year results this morning.

Gold price slips

ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a soft start to the week after the gold price slipped on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was down 0.2% to US$2,949.6 an ounce. However, this couldn't stop the precious metal from enjoying its eighth weekly gain in a row.

Sell Guzman Y Gomez shares

Goldman Sachs continues to rate Guzman Y Gomez Ltd (ASX: GYG) shares as a sell even after they sank 14% on Friday. According to the note, the broker has retained its sell rating with a $33.60 price target. This implies potential downside of 13% for investors. It said: "We remain cautious based on 1) an overly ambitious long-term store expansion profile; 2) a stretched valuation versus offshore peers; and 3) a stock overhang with c.13% of total shares expected to be released from escrow in early March 2025 and the remaining c.40% in August 2025."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Lovisa and Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Block, Goldman Sachs Group, and Lovisa. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended NIB Holdings. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Lovisa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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