Why is the Qantas share price having such a tough time today?

Is this government news affecting Qantas?

| More on:
Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) share price is down around 1% amid news that the Australian Government may step in to save Regional Express Holdings Ltd (ASX: REX) if necessary.

REX is currently in administration and is being managed by administrators who are going through a process of trying to find a saviour for the financially troubled airline.

The Australian Federal Government has already provided a loan of up to $80 million to keep REX's regional routes operating until 30 June 2025 and acquired $50 million of debt from REX's largest credit, PAGAC Regulus, earlier this year to ensure the airline could continue to operate.

What's happening with Regional Express now?

The administrators are currently working through a competitive sales process to try to find a new owner for the business.

The Federal Government has said it will "work with shortlisted bidders on what support the Albanese Government may be able to provide to maximise the prospect of a successful sale."

While the Federal Government is not a bidder in the upcoming sales process, and it wants to see a successful market-led outcome, it's open to stepping in to ensure the airline continues operations for regional Australians. The Prime Minister of Australia, Anthony Albanese, said in a statement:

…in the event there is no sale, the Albanese Government will undertake necessary work, in consultation with relevant state governments, on contingency options, including preparations necessary for potential Commonwealth acquisition.

The Albanese Government is also providing further support through a waiver of the "use it or lose it" test for Rex regional flight slots at Sydney Airport, which will ensure its access to those slots until 24 October 2026.

These actions make clear the Government's ongoing commitment to maintaining access to aviation services for regional and remote communities, and recognises the critical role of the Rex network to local economies.

Albanese then said:

Regional Australians deserve access to quality and crucial regional aviation services.

We are working collaboratively with the administrators of REX to ensure that regional services continue beyond June 2025, including looking at what support the Commonwealth can provide.

Regional Australians can be assured that our Government will continue to fight to ensure these regional airfares remain available.

Why is this affecting the Qantas share price?

On a day when the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 0.3%, the fall of close to 1% for the Qantas share price is quite noticeable.

Share prices are generally a reflection of the market's expectations of the ability of the company's future profit. If REX went out of business, it would mean less competition for Qantas, which could help both revenue and profit for the airline.

However, if the government stepped in to save REX, Qantas' profit may not be quite as high as expected by some investors in the longer term.

The broker UBS currently expects Qantas to make a net profit of $1.64 billion in FY25 and, in the longer term, $2 billion of net profit in FY29.

Qantas share price snapshot

In the past 12 months, the Qantas share price has risen more than 60%.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Qantas Airways PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALL12 Feb 202412 Feb 2025Zoom ▾Mar '24May '24Jul '24Sep '24Nov '24Jan '25Apr '24Apr '24Jul '24Jul '24Oct '24Oct '24Jan '25Jan '25www.fool.com.au

Should you invest $1,000 in Polynovo Limited right now?

Before you buy Polynovo Limited shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Polynovo Limited wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Travel Shares

Why did the Qantas share price lose altitude in April?

Qantas shares didn’t join in April’s ASX 200 rebound. But why?

Read more »

Man waiting for his flight and looking at his phone.
Travel Shares

Corporate Travel shares crash 11% as Trump tariffs bite

Trump’s tariffs are roiling Corporate Travel shares on Friday.

Read more »

A family walks along the tarmac towards a plane representing more people travelling as ASX travel shares recover
Travel Shares

How lower interest rates could send this beaten down ASX All Ords stock flying

A leading expert says this sold-off ASX All Ords stock is ‘well placed for growth’.

Read more »

Woman on a tablet waiting in for her flight in an airport and looking through a window.
Travel Shares

After a guidance downgrade, what does Macquarie think Flight Centre shares are worth?

Is this stock great value after its downgrade?

Read more »

Woman on a tablet waiting in for her flight in an airport and looking through a window.
Travel Shares

Will lower US travel impact Flight Centre shares?

New data reveals an uncertain future for US travel. Here’s how it could impact travel shares. 

Read more »

Couple at an airport waiting for their flight.
Travel Shares

Why is the Flight Centre share price sinking today?

ASX investors are bidding down Flight Centre shares on Monday. But why?

Read more »

A happy family of four on holidays stand on a jetty and cheer.
Travel Shares

Travel to the US is down this year. Will Australia's tourism sector benefit?

2025 could prove to be a good year for Australian hotel operators.

Read more »

Couple at an airport waiting for their flight.
Travel Shares

What are Macquarie's top 3 ASX stock picks in the travel sector?

If you are looking for exposure to the travel sector, then it could be worth listening to what Macquarie Group…

Read more »