Why is the Qantas share price having such a tough time today?

Is this government news affecting Qantas?

| More on:
Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) share price is down around 1% amid news that the Australian Government may step in to save Regional Express Holdings Ltd (ASX: REX) if necessary.

REX is currently in administration and is being managed by administrators who are going through a process of trying to find a saviour for the financially troubled airline.

The Australian Federal Government has already provided a loan of up to $80 million to keep REX's regional routes operating until 30 June 2025 and acquired $50 million of debt from REX's largest credit, PAGAC Regulus, earlier this year to ensure the airline could continue to operate.

What's happening with Regional Express now?

The administrators are currently working through a competitive sales process to try to find a new owner for the business.

The Federal Government has said it will "work with shortlisted bidders on what support the Albanese Government may be able to provide to maximise the prospect of a successful sale."

While the Federal Government is not a bidder in the upcoming sales process, and it wants to see a successful market-led outcome, it's open to stepping in to ensure the airline continues operations for regional Australians. The Prime Minister of Australia, Anthony Albanese, said in a statement:

…in the event there is no sale, the Albanese Government will undertake necessary work, in consultation with relevant state governments, on contingency options, including preparations necessary for potential Commonwealth acquisition.

The Albanese Government is also providing further support through a waiver of the "use it or lose it" test for Rex regional flight slots at Sydney Airport, which will ensure its access to those slots until 24 October 2026.

These actions make clear the Government's ongoing commitment to maintaining access to aviation services for regional and remote communities, and recognises the critical role of the Rex network to local economies.

Albanese then said:

Regional Australians deserve access to quality and crucial regional aviation services.

We are working collaboratively with the administrators of REX to ensure that regional services continue beyond June 2025, including looking at what support the Commonwealth can provide.

Regional Australians can be assured that our Government will continue to fight to ensure these regional airfares remain available.

Why is this affecting the Qantas share price?

On a day when the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 0.3%, the fall of close to 1% for the Qantas share price is quite noticeable.

Share prices are generally a reflection of the market's expectations of the ability of the company's future profit. If REX went out of business, it would mean less competition for Qantas, which could help both revenue and profit for the airline.

However, if the government stepped in to save REX, Qantas' profit may not be quite as high as expected by some investors in the longer term.

The broker UBS currently expects Qantas to make a net profit of $1.64 billion in FY25 and, in the longer term, $2 billion of net profit in FY29.

Qantas share price snapshot

In the past 12 months, the Qantas share price has risen more than 60%.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Qantas Airways PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALL12 Feb 202412 Feb 2025Zoom ▾Mar '24May '24Jul '24Sep '24Nov '24Jan '25Apr '24Apr '24Jul '24Jul '24Oct '24Oct '24Jan '25Jan '25www.fool.com.au

Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

Scott just revealed what he believes could be the 'five best ASX stocks' for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

Woman on a tablet waiting in for her flight in an airport and looking through a window.
Travel Shares

Why have Qantas shares outperformed Flight Centre shares by more than 100% over the past 12 months?

The two share prices are travelling in opposite directions.

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Travel Shares

Qantas share price slips amid looming $121 million fine

Qantas continues to face legal issues stemming from the Covid pandemic years.

Read more »

A woman looks up at a plane flying in the sky with arms outstretched as the Flight Centre share price surges
Earnings Results

Up 78% since April, why is the Webjet share price taking off again today?

Webjet shares have soared 78% since 4 April and are lifting off again today. But why?

Read more »

a young woman looks at here phone as she strides out in an airport dragging her wheelie bag behind her and smiling widely.
Travel Shares

Would I buy Qantas shares right now?

This ASX travel share has flown higher. Is it a buy?

Read more »

a woman drawing image on wall of big fish about to eat a small fish
Mergers & Acquisitions

Guess which ASX All Ords stock just received a takeover offer

A private equity firm has its eyes on this stock.

Read more »

A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.
Travel Shares

Qantas shares just hit $10. Can they fly higher?

Will Qantas shares reach a new all-time high in 2025?

Read more »

A corporate-looking woman looks at her mobile phone as she pulls along her suitcase in another hand while walking through an airport terminal with high glass panelled walls.
Travel Shares

After lowering its guidance, what's Macquarie's price target on Corporate Travel Management shares?

What does this broker have to say about the travel company?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Travel Shares

Why did the Qantas share price lose altitude in April?

Qantas shares didn’t join in April’s ASX 200 rebound. But why?

Read more »