Top brokers just downgraded these ASX 200 shares

Is the tide turning for these names?

| More on:
Three cute kids with mixed expressions poke their heads out from the back of a kombi.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX 200 shares are off to a good start to the year, with the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index (ASX: XJO) lifting around 3%.

Meanwhile, The Australian is reporting that top brokers have downgraded their ratings on Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN), Paladin Energy Ltd (ASX: PDN), and Goodman Group (ASX: GMG).

All of these stocks have done pretty well in recent months, so why the sudden change? Let's dive in and see.

Brokers downgrade ASX 200 shares

Evolution Mining's share price has climbed more than 80% over the past year and is up 17% this year alone.

The ASX 200 share hit new highs on Wednesday after the gold miner posted its quarterly report for the three months ended December 2024.

Despite a reasonably strong quarter, Citi analysts have downgraded Evolution to a hold. But in an odd move, Citi raised its price target on the mining stock slightly to $5.80 apiece.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Evolution Mining PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALL2 Apr 202431 Mar 2025Zoom ▾May '24Jun '24Jul '24Aug '24Sep '24Oct '24Nov '24Dec '24Jan '25Feb '25Mar '25May '24May '24Jul '24Jul '24Sep '24Sep '24Nov '24Nov '24Jan '25Jan '25Mar '25Mar '25345678www.fool.com.au

As The Australian reports, Citi analyst Kate McCutcheon likes its copper assets and says the company has met investor expectations in the past six months.

But Citi views Evolution as pricey and "would like to revisit our call into a pullback".

In addition, Macquarie Equities has also moved Evolution to a hold rating, setting a price target of $5.50. Meanwhile, Argonaut Securities downgraded the miner to hold with a price target of $6.00.

This comes as gold trades at US$2,750 per ounce, not far off its all-time high of US$2.785 per ounce.

Moving along, the second ASX 200 share to face a downgrade is ASX property giant Goodman Group.

Investment bank JP Morgan cut its rating on the property stock to a hold with a price target of $40. From Goodman's closing price of $38.36 on Wednesday, this is a 4.2% upside potential.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Goodman Group PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.com.au

JP Morgan is at odds with its broker colleagues, however. According to CommSec, of the eight analysts covering the stock, only JP Morgan rates the ASX 200 share a sell. There are five buys and two holds, respectively.

Paladin Energy rated hold

Uranium producer Paladin Energy has also been downgraded to a hold this week, with broker UBS revising its rating down.

This follows a 32% rally in its share price since November, as reported by The Australian, along with a "conservative" outlook on uranium.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Paladin Energy PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.com.au

The broker lifted its FY25 production forecast by 6%, reflecting higher output assumptions.

However, it also cited uncertainty around the "near-term price direction" of uranium as a key reason for its revised outlook.

While we are generally positive the long-term uranium thematic, we are less certain about near-term price direction and catalysts to have prices run higher, albeit given the closed nature of the uranium market we concede it is harder than most commodities to call near-term and with limited short-term indicators.

UBS set a price target of $10 piece on the ASX 200 share, nearly 9% upside potential from its closing price on Wednesday.

Foolish takeout

These ASX 200 shares have been downgraded to 'hold' ratings from top brokers this week.

Whilst expert opinions are valuable, it's important to remember they are just that — opinions. Keeping a long-term investment view is critical.

Should you invest $1,000 in Evolution Mining Limited right now?

Before you buy Evolution Mining Limited shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Evolution Mining Limited wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 6 March 2025

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Should I buy or sell Westpac shares in April?

A leading broker has given its verdict on Australia's oldest bank. Here's what it is saying.

Read more »

Two brokers analysing stocks.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

A pilot stands in an empty passenger cabin smiling with his arms crossed looking excited
Broker Notes

Why Qantas shares could be a top buy in April

What are analysts saying about the Flying Kangaroo?

Read more »

A young man sits at his desk working on his laptop with a big smile on his face due to his ASX shares going up and in particular the Computershare share price
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

a man sits at his desk wearing a business shirt and tie and has a hearty laugh at something on his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A smiling woman at a hardware shop selects paint colours from a wall display.
Broker Notes

Wesfarmers shares in focus: 3 key takeaways from Bunnings investor day

Here's what you need to know about the main event this week.

Read more »

A female stockbroker reviews share price performance in her office with the city shown in the background through her windows
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Broker says this ASX 200 share is a 'quality stock to put in your bottom drawer'

Ord Minnett has good things to say about this blue chip.

Read more »