Australia's biggest winners in 2025? My money is on these 2 ASX shares

Here's why I think these stocks could be underrated winners.

| More on:
Man and woman sitting at casino table playing poker

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I believe that underrated ASX shares could be among Australia's biggest winners in 2025.

The companies delivering excellent financial results are priced highly for their success. I'm thinking of names like Pro Medicus Ltd (ASX: PME) and WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC). They're not at bargain prices, that's for sure.

I'd name ASX shares like Brickworks Ltd (ASX: BKW), Tuas Ltd (ASX: TUA) and Centuria Industrial REIT (ASX: CIP) as my preferred opportunities.

However, the two stocks below could be the biggest winners if they prove doubters wrong and achieve materially positive returns, in my view.

They both have low price/earnings (P/E) ratios, so it wouldn't take much for the market to re-rate them higher.

GQG Partners Inc (ASX: GQG)

GQG is one of the larger fund managers on the ASX, but it has suffered amid a legal case in the United States being brought against one of its main investments – Adani. For starters, it's anyone's guess if and how that case progresses under the new US administration.

With the GQG share price down 27.5% from 11 November 2024, the company isn't priced for much success in 2025. But there's a fair chance that retail investors and institutions may want to deploy more capital with GQG's funds because of newly appointed US President Donald Trump's policies aimed at assisting businesses and investment.

The ASX share has a track record of outperforming various applicable benchmarks and growing FUM. I think it could return to good FUM growth during 2025 and surprise investors. As a reminder, the HY24 result reported an average FUM growth of 46.5% year over year to US$139.5 million. At the end of December 2024, it had FUM of US$153 billion.

According to the forecasts on Commsec, the GQG share price is valued at 8.5x FY25's estimated earnings with a projected dividend yield of 10.6%.

BlueScope Steel Limited (ASX: BSL)

The BlueScope share price is down 10% from its November 2024 high, but I think the company could be a contender to surprise the market this year.

I'm not expecting BlueScope to deliver a 200% return this year, but the ASX share could be a dark horse to deliver good returns for a couple of reasons.  

The fund manager L1 Capital recently outlined that excess Chinese steel production had resulted in elevated Chinese steel exports, pressuring prices across the region.

According to L1, US steel markets have also weakened. To address this, the company is looking to cut around $200 million in costs and improve productivity, which should support profit margins.

The other factor I'll point to is that the new US administration appears motivated to use American-made products in the US. This suits BlueScope because it has a large steelmaking facility there called North Star. Potential US tariffs on foreign steel could be a game-changer, and BlueScope is looking to expand this US facility.

According to the forecasts on Commsec, the BlueScope share price is valued at 11x FY26's estimated earnings.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Brickworks, Centuria Industrial REIT, and Tuas. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Brickworks and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Brickworks and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Opinions

Buy or bail? Fundie's verdict on 2 ASX 300 shares

Stuart Bromley of Medallion Financial Group provides his insights.

Read more »

A woman sits in a quiet home nook with her laptop computer and a notepad and pen on the table next to her as she smiles at information on the screen.
Opinions

2 top ASX passive income stocks to buy with $5,000 today

I think these leading ASX passive income shares will keep delivering market beating yields in FY 2026.

Read more »

A black cat waiting to pounce on a mouse.
Opinions

ASX All Ords gold share jumps 28% in 7 days – but fundie says don't hold on

Niv Dagan of Peak Asset Management has a sell rating on this ASX All Ords gold stock.

Read more »

a man in a business suit sits at his laptop computer at his desk and smiles broadly in an office setting, giving an air of optimism and confidence.
Opinions

This ASX 200 share has made the most money for my portfolio. I'm expecting a lot more

There’s one key reason why I’m expecting strong growth from this stock.

Read more »

A woman with a mobile phone in her hand looks sceptical with a puzzled expression on her face with an eyebrow raised and pursed lips.
Opinions

Is it time to be bullish or cautious on buying ASX shares right now?

Should investors be greedy or fearful as FY26 approaches?

Read more »

A happy young woman in a red t-shirt hold up two delicious burritos.
Opinions

Bull vs. Bear: Guzman Y Gomez shares

Guzman Y Gomez shares peaked at $45.99 in February and closed at $28.04 yesterday. Where to now?

Read more »

A businessman hugs his computer and smiles.
Opinions

3 ASX 200 shares to buy and hold forever

I don't expect these stocks to go out of style anytime soon.

Read more »

A young woman with tattoos puts both thumbs down and scrunches her face.
Opinions

2 ASX shares I'm avoiding in today's uncertain market

I wouldn't touch these two stocks if you paid me right now.

Read more »