Why this expert thinks lithium could be a big deal for Rio Tinto shares

Let's dig into what lithium could mean for Rio Tinto.

| More on:
Two young African mine workers wearing protective wear are discussing coal quality while on site at a coal mine.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) share price could be greatly influenced by its potential success with its lithium operations in the future. A leading expert has given their view on how the ASX mining share's push into the battery commodity could be significant.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Rio Tinto Group PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALL21 Jan 202421 Jan 2025Zoom ▾Mar '24May '24Jul '24Sep '24Nov '24Jan '25Apr '24Apr '24Jul '24Jul '24Oct '24Oct '24Jan '25Jan '25www.fool.com.au

As the chart above shows, the Rio Tinto share price has been highly volatile in the last few years. That volatility has been largely caused by the shifting iron ore price.

However, the mining giant is exploring different, future-facing commodities such as copper and lithium to diversify and grow its global operations and profit.

One expert has outlined their positivity on Rio Tinto and how lithium could become a significant player in that commodity.

Broker Ord Minnett positive on the miner

Writing on The Bull, Tony Paterno from Ord Minnett has called Rio Tinto shares a buy.

Paterno highlighted the ASX mining share recently at an investor conference, providing an update regarding its volume guidance.

The Ord Minnett expert also noted that Rio Tinto reiterated its confidence about the outlook for the Arcadium Lithium CDI (ASX: LTM) transaction and the lithium market as a whole. Its US$7 billion acquisition of Arcadium is expected to be completed by mid-2025.

Paterno highlighted that Rio Tinto's management team was bullish about lithium and expected the market size to "grow five-fold" by 2035.

Combining Arcadium with Rio's Jadar and Rincon assets would make it "the third biggest lithium miner in the world", according to the Ord Minnett expert.

Rio Tinto advised that the development of the "super sites" in Argentina was expected to come with production costs in the lower quartile of its competitors.

At the time of the US$2.5 billion announcement to expand Rincon, Rio Tinto CEO Jakob Stausholm said:

The attractive long-term outlook for lithium driven by the energy transition underpins our investment in Rincon. We are dedicated to developing this tier 1, world-class resource at scale at the low end of the cost curve.

We are equally committed to meeting the highest ESG standards, leveraging our advanced technology to halve the amount of water used in processing, while continuing to grow our mutually beneficial partnerships with local communities and Salta province.

Building on Argentina's supportive economic policies, skilled workforce, and exceptional resources we are positioning ourselves to become one of the top lithium producers globally.

This investment alongside our proposed Arcadium acquisition ensures that lithium will become one of the key pillars of our commodity portfolio for decades to come.

The ASX mining share certainly appears confident that lithium will play a major part in its future.

Rio Tinto share price snapshot

In the last 12 months, the Rio Tinto share price has fallen by 6%.

Should you invest $1,000 in Arcadium Lithium Plc right now?

Before you buy Arcadium Lithium Plc shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Arcadium Lithium Plc wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 6 March 2025

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Materials Shares

Is this beaten down lithium share now in the buy zone?

Mineral Resources has sunk amid an array of bad press. Has that created a buying opportunity or is there more…

Read more »

Man jumps for joy in front of a background of a rising stocks graphic.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX lithium stock is jumping 10% on big news

What is getting investors excited today? Let's find out.

Read more »

CSR share price rising asx share price represented my man in hard hat giving thumbs up
Materials Shares

Should I buy Rio Tinto or BHP shares?

Which of these mining giants do analysts think would be the best to buy? Let's find out.

Read more »

A miner stands in front of an excavator at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Why are Boss Energy shares surging 7% higher today?

Boss Energy shares continue their stunning run today.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX mining stock is jumping 11% on big news

Investors are celebrating another big announcement this morning.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Materials Shares

Should you buy, hold, or sell Liontown shares?

Do analysts think that now is a good time to invest? Let's find out.

Read more »

A lion dressed in a business suit roars as two sheep sit awkwardly at the boardroom table.
Materials Shares

Liontown share price roars higher on half year results

This lithium miner has handed in its report card on Friday.

Read more »

A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.
Materials Shares

The Rio Tinto share price 'remains undervalued' and could rise 20%+

Goldman Sachs thinks this mining giant is being undervalued by the market.

Read more »