Why I think these 2 ASX 300 stocks will beat the market in 2025

I'm very optimistic about a few ASX growth shares.

| More on:
Young boy in business suit punches the air as he finishes ahead of another boy in a box car race.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO) is a fertile hunting ground to find businesses that are growing quickly but still have plenty of time to go before they reach full maturity.

But there are a few ASX 300 stocks I'm backing to beat the wider market over the next 12 months and beyond.  

Typically, businesses that are growing revenue at a fast pace are more likely to beat the market, in my view. It helps if those businesses have a large addressable market to grow into. Another positive would be if they can grow their profit margins as they become bigger.

I believe the ASX 300 stocks below are appealing options, which is why I own them in my own portfolio.

Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX: LOV)

I'd describe Lovisa as one of the most global companies on the ASX. It sells affordable jewellery which is targeted at younger shoppers. At the last count, it had 927 stores in 49 markets/countries.

The business has more than 200 stores in Australia and New Zealand. Excitingly, it has the potential to significantly expand its global store network because it has a presence in countries with much larger populations than Australia, such as the USA, the UK, Germany, Italy, China, and Vietnam. I think it can add hundreds of stores to its network in the coming years.

It continues growing at a pleasing pace despite the challenging economic environment. In the first 20 weeks of FY25, total sales grew by 10% year over year.

The FY24 result demonstrated the strength of its business model, with revenue growth of 17% and net profit after tax (NPAT) growth of 20.9%.

According to the Commsec forecast, the Lovisa share price is valued at 34x FY25's estimated earnings. I believe the company's sales growth could improve if the economic situation improves following interest rate cuts worldwide.

Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW)

Temple & Webster is an online retailer of homewares, furniture, and some home improvement products.

It already sells more than 200,000 products, most of which are shipped to customers directly by suppliers. This reduces the inventory and capital the ASX 300 stock needs to have to service the sales. The business' capital-light model allows it to generate strong cash flow.

The ASX 300 stock aims to reach $1 billion in annual sales between FY26 and FY28, thanks to a combination of at least $800 million in core furniture and homewares sales and at least $200 million in sales from its growth plays, including business-to-business and home improvement sales.

I'm excited by the company's potential to grow market share significantly as e-commerce adoption by Aussies continues, younger cohorts enter their higher-spending stage(s) of life, and a high level of marketing reaches more customers.

As an online business, the company is benefiting from AI usage, both internally and with customer-facing solutions. This boosts customer conversion and provides cost-based benefits.

With the ASX 300 stock getting bigger, its fixed costs are being spread across more sales, which is boosting margins. Its fixed costs were 11% of sales in FY24, and it's aiming to have fixed costs of less than 6% of sales by FY28.

I think this company has a very exciting future if it can continue gaining market share.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Lovisa and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Lovisa and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Lovisa and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Opinions

Should you hold on to these 4 ASX 200 outperformers or take your profits and run?

Should you hold on to these ASX stocks after outstanding growth or take your profits and run?

Read more »

a diverse groups of about twenty people stand together in a crowd staring to the front with angry and annoyed looks on their faces.
Opinions

Why the Magnificent Seven 'is becoming an irrelevant concept': expert

The US Magnificent 7 has lost significance, says Betashares investment strategist, Cameron Gleeson.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

3 ASX mining shares to sell today: experts

These iron ore, coal, and lithium miners have attracted sell ratings from brokers.

Read more »

A set of scales with a bag of money balanced against a timer, indicating growth versus value shares
Opinions

Which ASX sector offers the best value heading into earnings season?

I think one sector is particularly compelling.

Read more »

Person holding a blue chip.
Blue Chip Shares

4 ASX 200 blue-chip shares to hold but not buy: experts

These blue-chips are worth holding if you already own them, but are too expensive for new investors to buy.

Read more »

young woman reviewing financial reports at desk with multiple computer screens
Opinions

Brokers' verdict on 4 popular ASX 200 financial stocks

Financials outperformed every other sector in FY25. What should you do now with these 4 stocks?

Read more »

share buyers, investors, happy investors
Opinions

Why it could be a great time to buy AFIC shares

I’m optimistic about the return potential for this investment company.

Read more »

a couple clink champagne glasses on board a private aircraft with gourmet food plates set in front of them. They are wearing designer clothes and looking wealthy.
Opinions

Why I'm aiming for $1 million with ASX shares

I think it makes a lot of sense to invest in stocks to achieve wealth goals.

Read more »