Why are ASX gold shares rebounding today?

ASX investors are going for gold today.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX gold shares are rallying on Tuesday after the gold price lifted 1.9% to US$2,611.25 per ounce overnight.

The S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD) is up 3.41%, while the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up 0.86% at the time of writing.

Here's how some of the biggest ASX gold shares are performing today:

  • Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) shares are up 2.86% to $16.72
  • Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) shares are up 2.95% to $4.88
  • Newmont Corporate CDI (ASX: NEM) shares are up 2.17% to $65.38
  • Perseus Mining Ltd (ASX: PRU) shares are up 3.16% to $2.61
  • De Grey Mining Limited (ASX: DEG) shares are up 4.41% to $1.47
  • Bellevue Gold Ltd (ASX: BGL) shares are up 2.77% to $1.30
  • Gold Road Resources Ltd (ASX: GOR) shares are up 2.84% to $1.81
Woman holding gold bar and cheering.

Image source: Getty Images

What's behind today's rebound in ASX gold shares?

As usual, the gold price is a factor in the rally of ASX gold shares today.

The gold price is now recovering from its biggest weekly fall since 2021.

The commodity hit a new record high of about US$2,786 per ounce on 30 October. It then commenced a gradual decline to about US$2,562 per ounce by last Friday.

One reason for the declining gold price over the past fortnight was a rally in the US dollar. This followed the surprisingly decisive election victory of United States Republican Donald Trump.

The currency lift led to a fall in the gold price, which also sent ASX gold shares lower.

This 8% dip in the gold price also follows a strong run in 2024.

The precious metal began rising in February and has lifted by more than 30% since then, even when taking into account this month's fall.

According to Trading Economics, a rebound in the gold price has begun now that the US dollar has paused.

Demand for safe-haven assets has also surged amid US President Joe Biden giving Ukraine permission to use long-range US weapons inside Russia.

Biden did this as Russia amassed almost 50,000 troops in Kursk with the hope of retaking the territory from Ukraine.

The analysts added:

Meanwhile, comments from some Federal Reserve officials last week also added uncertainty regarding the timing and extent of potential rate cuts.

Still, markets are currently pricing in around 65% chance of a 25bps rate cut in December.

 Last week, the US Federal Reserve made its second rate cut this year.

What else is happening today?

ASX gold share Newmont is also higher today after the miner announced a major divestment.

As we've reported, Newmont will sell its Musselwhite operation in Ontario, Canada, to Orla Mining for up to US$850 million (A$1.3 billion).

This will be comprised of US$810 million in cash and up to US$40 million in contingent payments.

MPC Markets' Jonathan Tacadena is optimistic about Newmont shares and has a buy rating on the ASX gold share. My colleague Bernd outlined Tacadena's four reasons for buying Newmont stock yesterday.

What's next for ASX gold shares?

According to the Australian Financial Review (AFR), top broker Goldman Sachs has reiterated its forecast for the gold price to reach US$3,000 per ounce next year.

The broker says further interest rate cuts expected next year will further reduce the opportunity costs of holding gold.

Goldman said tariffs underlined gold's role as an inflation hedge, and there was steady demand from central banks.

The broker said the market's sell-off in November provided an "attractive entry point to buy gold".

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Calculator and gold bars on Australian dollars, symbolising dividends.
Gold

This ASX 200 gold stock has rocketed 200% higher… and there is more to come

The ASX gold stock is trading 5% higher again today.

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Share Market News

Up 450% in a year — why this ASX gold stock could soar further

Strong drilling, solid funding, and scale potential are exciting investors.

Read more »

A gold gloved hand is held up in a stop gesture.
Gold

ASX gold shares down 31% since war began: What should you do?

We reveal new expert ratings and price targets on several ASX gold shares.

Read more »

A man leaps from a stack of gold coins to the next, each one higher than the last.
Gold

Why ASX 200 gold stocks like Northern Star and Evolution Mining are storming higher today

ASX 200 gold stock have their shine back on Tuesday. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Three people skydiving.
Gold

Which top ASX gold stock just took the biggest hit?

Is this a buying opportunity or a warning sign?

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Gold

These two ASX gold shares just crashed – should investors swoop in?

Why did these gold shares crash?

Read more »

Woman holding gold bar and cheering.
Broker Notes

Up 84% since August, should you buy this $6 billion ASX 200 gold stock today?

A leading expert digs into the outlook for this surging ASX 200 gold stock.

Read more »

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
Gold

Down 40% in a month. Does the Northern Star share price have further to fall?

Northern Star shares plunge 40% as outlook weakens and gold drops.

Read more »