After ResMed's 60% rise, this investor is now bullish on the 'most hated' ASX stock

Sometimes it pays to be a contrarian.

| More on:
A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX stock Perpetual Ltd (ASX: PPT) has suffered so far in 2024, down more than 15% at a time when broad markets have rallied to new highs.

This is bad news for a company that specialises in investing money for clients in the financial markets.

Perpetual's performance means the stock closed at 52-week lows of $18.15 in mid-September. It has since regained some ground and is fetching $21.63 at the time of writing, up 10% this past month.

One fund manager sees the upside potential in this beaten-down asset manager and calls it his top pick in the investment universe. Let's see.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Perpetual PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.com.au

Why is this ASX stock under fire?

The ASX stock has been punished this year, so much so that investors voted against its remuneration package earlier in the year. Star Casino also recently sold a large line of Perpetual shares.

But Chris Kourtis of Ellerston Capital has labelled Perpetual his top pick for the coming periods despite the company's battered stock price.

Known for his contrarian approach, Kourtis believes this "most hated" ASX stock has significant untapped potential. He even referred to it as the "cheapest listed asset manager of scale in the universe".

Perpetual has struggled with leadership issues, poor capital allocation, and what Kourtis calls "woeful execution.", according to The Australian.

The problem hasn't been performance. It has been with the board, the ex-CEO (Rob Adams) and the execution strategy.

Zooming out, shares have halved in value over the past four years, and the company recently received a first strike on its executive pay structure.

What makes Perpetual a 'gift'?

Adding to the uncertainty, the ASX stock is undergoing a significant transformation by selling its corporate trust and wealth management units to private equity firm KKR.

Despite these hurdles, Kourtis is optimistic.

If the deal goes ahead, "shareholders are going to receive about a billion dollars", he stated during the Sohn Australia conference.

Kourtis believes the deal with KKR will unlock value for shareholders. He says it can reduce debt and return capital while positioning the ASX stock as a leaner asset manager.

Following the sale, the company is expected to manage $222 billion in assets.

Kourtis acknowledges the risks involved, including the need for regulatory approvals and possible delays in executing the demerger.

However, new CEO Bernard Reilly has his support to improve the ASX stock's situation.

Reilly has already committed to streamlining Perpetual's operations, with Kourtis expecting significant cost savings in the near term.

ASX stock takeout

While Kourtis is the first to admit that Perpetual's recovery isn't guaranteed, his bullish call has drawn attention to the ASX stock.

After successfully tipping ResMed (ASX: RMD) last year, which surged well into the green, Kourtis is confident that Perpetual could be another big winner for patient investors.

The stock is down less than 1% in the past year.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

A worried woman sits at her computer with her hands clutched at the bottom of her face.
Earnings Results

Up 40% in a year, why are QBE shares tumbling on Friday?

ASX investors are bidding down QBE shares today. But why?

Read more »

A man wearing a blue jumper and a hat looks at his laptop with a distressed and fearful look on his face.
Broker Notes

How much upside does Macquarie see for AMP shares after its result?

The company released its H1 2025 results on Thursday.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Financial Shares

Block share price jumps 10% on Q2 guidance beat

This payments giant has impressed the market with a stronger than expected result.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop computer in front of him.
Earnings Results

AMP share price slumps on H1 results announcement

The company released its H1 2025 results this morning.

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Broker Notes

Credit Corp shares surged 16% on Tuesday. Here's what Macquarie forecasts now

Up 52% since April, what’s Macquarie forecasting for Credit Corp shares in the year ahead?

Read more »

Happy shareholders clap and smile as they listen to a company earnings report.
Financial Shares

After seeing its result, does Macquarie still rate Pinnacle Investment Management shares a buy?

Pinnacle released its FY25 results on Tuesday afternoon.

Read more »

A man in a business suit uses a rope to climb up the side of a huge pile of papers fashioned like a tall building against a blue sky backdrop with clouds representing an assessment of whether CBA shares stacked up well in March
Earnings Results

Pinnacle Investment Management share price storms higher on FY25 results

Here are all the key details.

Read more »

A man sitting at his dining table looks at his laptop and ponders the CSL balance sheet and the value of CSL shares today
Financial Shares

Brokers reveal what to do with these 3 ASX 300 financial shares

Two of these stocks have been on a long-term tear whilst the other has struggled.

Read more »