Why this fund manager still thinks Qantas shares are a cheap buy

One expert still has a lot of belief in Qantas shares.

| More on:
A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price is on an incredible run, rising by 40% in the last three months, as shown in the chart below. One fund manager believes there are more potential gains to come.

L1 Capital likes to look for mispriced opportunities, and it's seeing "major valuation distortions in select stocks and sectors". The fund manager suggests that many Australian cyclical stocks are now looking good value for patient investors.

Australia's national airline continues to be an attractive opportunity in the eyes of the L1 investment team despite its 9% gain in October.

What's driving the ASX travel share higher?

The fund manager pointed out in its recent monthly update that at Qantas' annual general meeting (AGM) Qantas had highlighted ongoing improvements in operating conditions.

According to L1 Capital, Qantas increased expectations for its domestic yield due to robust travel demand and ongoing improvement in corporate travel.

The fund manager also pointed out that the ASX travel share was benefiting from lower fuel prices in the 2025 financial year to date.

L1 also noted that Qantas' international segment expectations were largely unchanged, and the airline's loyalty division remains on track to deliver double-digit earnings growth.

The L1 investment team believe this update further supports the shift to "robust shareholder returns in coming years", including a return to fully franked dividends starting in the first half of FY25.

Why is the Qantas share price still attractive?

Despite the significant rise in Qantas' valuation this year, the fund manager still thinks the ASX travel share is undervalued, with a price/earnings (P/E) ratio of less than 8.

L1 explained its bullish view on the airline:

We believe Qantas remains very well placed over the medium term given it has Australia's best loyalty business (which is expected to double earnings over the next 5-7 years) and a raft of brand new, more fuel-efficient aircraft to be delivered, along with Project Sunrise, which will enable direct flights from Melbourne/Sydney to London and New York from 2026.

Qantas trades on a FY25 P/E of only 7.5x, despite a leading industry position, structural medium-term growth in travel demand and a high growth, capital-light loyalty division, which remains incredibly underappreciated by the market.

Of course, I'll point out that Qantas is facing the prospect of more competition in the skies from an alliance between Virgin Australia and Qatar Airways. This may be particularly troublesome on international routes and could lower revenue/margins. But time will tell how much impact that has.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.
Travel Shares

Is this a good time to buy Qantas shares?

Can we still get onboard with this flying stock?

Read more »

A happy couple sit together at an airport
Travel Shares

Down 33%! Should you buy Web Travel shares while they're under $5?

Could the beaten down Web Travel share price make up for lost ground in 2025?

Read more »

A woman looks up at a plane flying in the sky with arms outstretched as the Flight Centre share price surges
Travel Shares

Qantas share price soars to new all-time high today

The airline is in full flight so far in 2025.

Read more »

Couple at an airport waiting for their flight.
Travel Shares

Should you buy Webjet stock while it's below $1?

Could Webjet shares fly a lot higher than the current valuation?

Read more »

A smiling boy holds a toy plane aloft while a girl watches on from a car near an airport runway.
Travel Shares

Got $500? Buy this ASX 200 stock to kick off 2025

I think you’ll want to consider a $500 investment in this ASX 200 stock for 2025.

Read more »

A man sits in the airport terminal with a laptop and credit card, ready to make a travel booking.
Travel Shares

Own Qantas shares? Here are some dates to watch out for in 2025

After a big 2024, many investors will be watching Qantas this year.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Resources Shares

2 magnificent ASX shares primed to surge in 2025

Analysts believe these names could provide an edge this year.

Read more »

A little girls looks up longingly through a rocket she has made from cardboard, dreaming of shooting to the stars one day.
Travel Shares

Qantas shares slip amid SpaceX rocket debris mayhem

The company faces flight delays in South Africa.

Read more »