Down 40%: Is this cheap ASX 200 share a buy after its bombshell news?

Goldman Sachs thinks a total return of 30% is possible for investors from this stock.

| More on:
An older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Tuesday, the Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) share price came under pressure.

Investors were selling the ASX 200 share after its long-serving CEO, Don Meij, announced his exit. In addition, a softer than expected quarterly update weighed on sentiment.

This led to the pizza chain operator's shares ending the session 6% lower at $31.60.

In light of this, the Domino's share price is now down 40% since this time last year.

Does this make this beaten down share a cheap buy now? Or should investors steer clear? Let's find out.

Is this a cheap ASX 200 share to buy?

It's not often that a CEO steps down and analysts are happy. But according to the team at Goldman Sachs, they think that the exit of Domino's CEO should be viewed as a positive and a reason to buy.

Firstly, commenting on the ASX 200 share's trading update. The broker said:

DMP provided 17 weeks trading update with -1.2% SSS (+2.7% pcp), weaker vs GSe +2.8% 1H25e. That said, historically SSS can be divergent to sales/average store and our network sales (including store closures) for 1H25e is -0.9% and the Company did not provide an update to that. The key issue in our view remains the longer than expected turnaround of Japan and Europe (France and Germany).

As for Meij's exit, Goldman thinks that this is a positive step towards business turnaround. It adds:

Separately, we see Mr Don Meij's (CEO of 22yrs) retirement as not surprising as we believe the recent appointment of France and ANZ regional leadership removed the daily operational reliance on Mr Meij.

Meanwhile, given challenges faced by the company in its strategy execution over the past several years, including our view of over-expansion post COVID especially in Japan, under-investment in front-end consumer tech, and menu innovation resulting in market share losses, we think the management change could provide an opportune time for new leadership to revisit key growth strategies for a turnaround. Despite the operating volatility, we see the change in leadership as a positive step towards business turnaround.

Time to buy

In response to the above, the broker has retained it buy rating and $40.00 price target on the ASX 200 share.

Based on its current share price of $31.60, this implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors.

In addition, Goldman is forecasting a dividend yield of approximately 3.7% in FY 2025. This takes the total potential return beyond 30%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises and Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Cheap Shares

a man holds his arms out and shrugs his shoulders as if indicating he doesn't know the answer to a question he's been asked.
Cheap Shares

Down 40%! Should you buy this beaten down ASX 200 stock?

One leading broker has given its verdict on this sold-off stock.

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment or business plan at their office.
Cheap Shares

Where to invest $10,000 in a bullish share market?

High share prices shouldn't dissuade you from investing in the markets.

Read more »

A young woman lifts her red glasses with one hand as she takes a closer look at news about interest rates rising and one expert's surprising recommendation as to which ASX shares to buy
Cheap Shares

This ASX 300 stock is trading with the widest discount in its history

Bell Potter thinks this stock could be dirt cheap.

Read more »

a man with a wide, eager smile on his face holds up three fingers.
Cheap Shares

Here are my top 3 undervalued ASX shares to buy right now

These stocks are excellent picks in my opinion.

Read more »

Three cute kids with mixed expressions poke their heads out from the back of a kombi.
Cheap Shares

Three ASX shares down 10% to 23%! Are they cheap?

Price doesn't equal value.

Read more »

Smiling couple looking at a phone at a bargain opportunity.
Cheap Shares

History says these 3 ASX shares are dirt cheap today

These beaten-down ASX shares could be offering great value for money.

Read more »

Woman looking at her smartphone and analysing share price.
Cheap Shares

Why this ASX All Ords stock is 'extremely undervalued' right now

This expert is calling the market's cheapest stock.

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane looking through a window and working on a laptop.
Cheap Shares

After jumping 11% in a month, is this ASX bargain stock a buy?

This stock is on analyst radars after its FY24 results.

Read more »