ANZ shares see red as $196 million charge to hit H2 earnings

The second half of earnings will be interesting for ANZ.

| More on:
A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares are trading lower on Monday after the company flagged a $196 million charge to hit its second-half 2024 earnings.

The charge relates back to acquisition-related accounting adjustments following its buyout of Suncorp Bank earlier this year.

Shares are down less than 1% in early trade and swapping hands at $31.49 apiece. Let's take a closer look.

ANZ shares down as earnings to take a hit

ANZ's $196 million charge stems from two key adjustments required for consolidating Suncorp Bank's assets into its books.

The first is an accelerated software amortisation charge. ANZ recorded a $36 million charge against its profit (or $25 million after tax) to "align Suncorp's software capitalisation policy with ANZ's."

The second is a credit impairment charge. This is more substantial and will create a $244 million charge (or $171 million after tax) against the bank's earnings in H2 2024.

It relates to what is known as credit impairment accounting. Under Australian standards, ANZ couldn't carry over Suncorp's pre-existing balance for expected credit losses (ECLs).

Instead, ANZ had to create its own provision for ECLs on its own balance sheet. It couldn't rely on Suncorp's statements.

ANZ then had to establish an ECL allowance for the acquired portfolio using its own methodology, a related credit impairment charge is recorded in the Income Statement.

Since ANZ could not recognise the existing Suncorp Bank ECL under accounting rules, the initial carrying value for that portfolio increased, leading to a proportional reduction in acquisition-related goodwill.

Critically, the $196 million charge does not alter the agreed value of Suncorp's assets or impact the acquisition price.

However, it will reduce ANZ's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio by around 2 basis points.

More importantly to investors, it will impact ANZ's statutory and cash profit by nearly $200 million, which could impact ANZ shares.

What's the bigger picture for ANZ?

This additional charge could lead analysts to adjust earnings estimates for ANZ's full-year results if they haven't already.

Morgan Stanley recently indicated that ANZ might continue to underperform compared to its big-bank peers.

The broker expects margin pressures to persist, driven by factors like declining mortgage balances and rising deposit costs.

It, too, commented on the potential risks in "the Suncorp Bank synergies".

UBS rated ANZ a buy last month, citing its solid capital position and projected profits of $7.3 billion for the year. It priced the stock at $32 per share.

But that was before today's earnings adjustment. Time will tell what impact this has on the broker's estimates and price target.

What's more, in addition to the Suncorp-related charge announced today, ANZ is navigating some external hurdles.

The bank is embroiled in a bond trading investigation by ASIC concerning alleged market manipulation during a $14 billion government bond transaction.

The ongoing investigation has led to ANZ's exclusion from a few major debt sales and resulted in internal reviews, along with the departure of three bond traders.

Foolish takeout

The coming months are crucial for ANZ shares as the bank integrates Suncorp and responds to ASIC's investigation findings.

Time will tell if the bank will navigate the rough waters unscathed.

In the last 12 months, the stock is up more than 27%.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Man smiling at a laptop because of a rising share price.
Bank Shares

2 strong ASX bank shares to consider before year-end

I think these ASX bank shares could be compelling opportunities in the sector.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

Is this a good time to buy NAB shares?

Should investors bank on good returns from here?

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Bank Shares

CBA shares: Overvalued or still a buy?

CBA shareholders have seen a lot of gains in 2024. Is it too late to buy?

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Bank Shares

What's the outlook for Bank of Queensland shares in 2025?

Here’s what experts predict for BOQ next year.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

Why ANZ shares are making big news today

ANZ's CEO is handing back millions as scrutiny grows.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

Why this expert says it's time to sell NAB shares

Are NAB shares a sell heading into 2025?

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Bank Shares

'Too high too rapidly': Why CBA shares are a sell

Should you sell your CBA shares today?

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Why today is a big day for NAB shares

It’s a big day for NAB shareholders on Wednesday.

Read more »