5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

It looks like a tough session awaits Aussie investors today.

A Chinese investor sits in front of his laptop looking pensive and concerned about pandemic lockdowns which may impact ASX 200 iron ore share prices

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On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) started the week in a positive fashion. The benchmark index rose 0.75% to 8,344.4 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market is expected to fall on Tuesday following a poor start to the week in the United States. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is poised to open the day 73 points or 0.9% lower. In late trade on Wall Street, the Dow Jones is down 0.8%, the S&P 500 is down 0.3%, and the Nasdaq is flat.

Metcash shares downgraded

The Metcash Ltd (ASX: MTS) share price is overvalued according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning, the broker has downgraded the wholesale distributor's shares to a sell rating with a reduced price target of $3.10 (from $3.80). The broker believes Metcash will underperform the market's expectations in the coming years. It said: "We cut our FY25E-27E group revenue by 1-2% and EBIT by 5-6% on lower Hardware corporate own/JV margins. Our FY24E-27E group revenue/EBIT CAGRs are 4.4%/6.9% and our FY25E-27E EBIT (ex-Horizon costs) are ~4% below FactSet consensus."

Oil prices rise

It could be a decent session for ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) on Tuesday after oil prices rose overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 2.1% to US$70.67 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 1.75% to US$74.33 a barrel. Oil prices rose after China cut its benchmark lending rate.

CSL R&D day

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares will be on watch on Tuesday when the biotechnology giant holds its highly anticipated research and development (R&D) day. At the event, the company will talk the market through its R&D pipeline, showing investors what is in the works to drive its future growth. Bell Potter described the event as a potential catalyst to driving its shares higher when it initiated coverage on the company yesterday with a buy rating and $345.00 price target.

Gold price edges higher

ASX 200 gold miners Gold Road Resources Ltd (ASX: GOR) and Regis Resources Limited (ASX: RRL) could have a relatively positive session after the gold price edged higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 0.1% to US$2,732.3 an ounce. The gold price rally was held back by a stronger US dollar.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL and Metcash. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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