Up 200% in a year, is the Chemist Warehouse merger already fully priced into Sigma shares?

Have investors gotten too ahead of themselves with Sigma?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

One of the most successful ASX 200 shares to have been invested in over the past year has been healthcare stock Sigma Healthcare Ltd (ASX: SIG). 

This time in 2023, you could have picked up a share of Sigma for just 62 cents. But today, that same share will set you back $1.88.

That means the Sigma share price has rocketed by just over 200% in that 12-month period.

Check it out for yourself below:

Of course, these astonishing gains haven't come out of the blue. They are almost certainly a result of Sigma's ambitious plans to merge with the pharmacy giant Chemist Warehouse. 

This merger, first announced in December last year, will result in a complicated 'backdoor listing' of Chemist Warehouse on the ASX through its marriage to Sigma.

Most of the Sigma share price's phenomenal gains of the past year have come over just the past month. This coincides with the merger overcoming several regulatory and legal hurdles and looking relatively certain to proceed.

ASX investors are clearly excited over the opportunity to invest in Australia's largest pharmaceutical chain. But with much of the excitement arguably already baked into Sigma shares at their current pricing, is it even worth buying into this merger today?

Two pharmacist talking to each other.

Image source: Getty Images

Are Sigma shares a buy ahead of the Chemist Warehouse merger?

Well, it seems ASX experts are fairly united on this one.

Last week, my Fool colleague went through the views of the management team of WAM Research Ltd (ASX: WAX). As we covered then, Wilson Asset Management currently holds Sigma shares in its WAM Research portfolio with the expectation that it will deliver for its investors.

WAM is confident the merger will go ahead. Its management is reportedly "excited at the prospect of owning one of the country's best retailers with a global store roll-out on the horizon". The company also anticipates that Chemist Warehouse has plenty of room to keep expanding, both in Australia and overseas.

But Wilson Asset Management isn't the only professional investor eyeing Sigma off right now.

Fund manager Surrey Asset Management also currently holds Sigma as a major investment in its Australian Equities Fund. Surrey has just told its clients that it was impressed with Sigma's recent earnings. It also reportedly views Chemist Warehouse's latest financials "favourably".

The fund manager believes that these earnings improve the chances of the merger going ahead. Surrey seems content with Sigma as a "material holding of the fund".

So, these two ASX experts seem to argue that it is still very much worth buying Sigma shares today. That's thanks to the fact that the full value of the Chemist Warehouse merger isn't yet reflected in the Sigma share price. That's despite the 200% gain that Sigma shares have already delivered over the past year, of course. No doubt investors will be delighted to hear this.

But let's see if the marriage does indeed go ahead later this year. 

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

A medical researcher rests his forehead on his fist with a dejected look on his face while sitting behind a scientific microscope with another researcher's hand on his shoulder, as if giving comfort.
Healthcare Shares

What's making healthcare the worst sector on the ASX 200, down 39% in a year?

An expert outlines the key headwinds weighing on the industry and share prices today.

Read more »

woman testing substance in laboratory dish, csl share price
Healthcare Shares

Good news, falling shares: What's dragging this ASX stock lower?

In biotech, strong updates don't always push the share price higher.

Read more »

A graphic showing a businessman running up a white upwards rising arrow symbolising the soaring Magellan share price today
Healthcare Shares

Guess which ASX All Ords healthcare share is rocketing 18% in Thursday's sinking market

Investors are piling into the ASX healthcare share on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Healthcare Shares

Mesoblast shares: Cash burn falls and Ryoncil® sales climb

Mesoblast reports higher Ryoncil® sales, improved cash management, and research milestones for the March 2026 quarter.

Read more »

A elder man and woman lean over their balcony with a cuppa, indicating share rpice movement for ASX retirement shares
Healthcare Shares

Regis Healthcare expects FY26 EBITDA to hit top end of guidance

Regis Healthcare expects top-end FY26 earnings as strong occupancy, RAD inflows, and efficiency gains set a positive outlook.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Healthcare Shares

This ASX healthcare stock could be set to rise 50%

This small cap could be one to watch.

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face.
Healthcare Shares

Up 60%: Why this exciting ASX stock could keep rising

This speculative stock could still have significant upside according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

A person holds their hands up through the middle of a rubber lifesaving ring while swimming in relatively calm conditions at a beach.
Healthcare Shares

Why this ASX healthcare high-flyer just dropped another 9% today

4DMedical shares are sliding again. Here’s what’s behind the drop.

Read more »