Why did the Flight Centre share price just crash 17%?

Flight Centre shares are getting hammered on Friday. But why?

| More on:
Paper aeroplane going down on a chart, symbolising a falling share price.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price is taking a beating today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) travel stock closed yesterday trading for $21.62. In morning trade on Friday, shares are changing hands for $18.05 apiece, down 16.5%.

For some context the ASX 200 is down 0.4% at this same time.

This sharp underperformance comes after Flight Centre released an operational review and trading update for FY 2025 at the Morgan's Conference.

Flight Centre share price tumbles on uncertain growth outlook

ASX 200 investors are selling down the Flight Centre share price despite the company highlighting the efficiency and productivity improvements achieved since the global pandemic.

In FY 2019, Flight Centre had a revenue margin of 12.9%, which improved to 11.4% in FY 2024. On the cost front, the underlying cost margin dropped from 10.9% in FY 2019 to 9.6% in FY 2024.

Management credited the margin improvement to business mix changes (growth in corporate and lower margin leisure businesses) and commission cuts from some airlines during the pandemic.

The cost margin improvement was said to reflect structural changes made during the pandemic along with economies of scale.

FY 2024 also saw Flight Centre achieve record operating cash inflow of $421 million and a record Total Transaction Value Record (TTV), which the company said was delivered with less than 90% of its traditional cost base.

The company also noted that it now has a heavier second-half "earnings skew", with almost two-thirds of FY 2024 underlying profit before tax generated in the latter six months of the financial year.

Looking ahead into FY 2025, management expects profits will again be heavily weighted to the second half. The ASX 200 travel stock will provide market guidance at its AGM on 14 November.

The Flight Centre share price looks to be catching headwinds as the company expressed a fair amount of uncertainty over the year ahead.

While trading was said to be "marginally above" FY 2024 Q1 in terms of TTV, profit margin and underlying profit, the company said it was "currently too early to draw conclusions as to likely trading patterns over full year".

While there are similar trends in the early months of FY 2025 to the late months of FY 2024, there was "some inconsistency month-to-month".

Management said they are currently expecting normal industry growth over the full year, with 4% to 5% growth in Australian outbound travel. Declining airline ticket prices remain in focus.

The company aims for a 2% underlying profit before tax margin in FY 2025, and overall profit growth is its main priority.

How has the ASX 200 travel stock been travelling?

With today's intraday fall factored in, the Flight Centre share price is right back where it was this time last year.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

Bored woman waiting for her flight at the airport.
Travel Shares

Why are Web Travel shares tumbling 6% today?

Its suspension is over. What's going on with this travel stock?

Read more »

A woman looks up at a plane flying in the sky with arms outstretched as the Flight Centre share price surges
Travel Shares

The Qantas share price has flown 66% higher in 2024, this top broker thinks it can gain more altitude

Qantas shares may not be finished rising.

Read more »

a man holds his arms out and shrugs his shoulders as if indicating he doesn't know the answer to a question he's been asked.
Travel Shares

Why is Web Travel stock such a hot topic today?

This travel stock isn't going anywhere today. Why isn't it moving?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Travel Shares

Why this ASX travel share is grounded two days before results

Investors now wait in anticipation.

Read more »

A corporate-looking woman looks at her mobile phone as she pulls along her suitcase in another hand while walking through an airport terminal with high glass panelled walls.
Travel Shares

This ASX travel share is 'going to take off' after falling 30%

Back your bags.

Read more »

A woman sits crossed legged on seats at an airport holding her ticket and smiling.
Travel Shares

Down 23% in a month, why this ASX 200 stock is an 'attractive opportunity'

After falling hard, a top fund manager is seeing an opportunity with this stock.

Read more »

A line of people sitting at a long desk in an annual general meeting
Travel Shares

Why today is a big day for Flight Centre shares

Why is everyone talking about Flight Centre shares today?

Read more »

A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.
Travel Shares

Why this fund manager still thinks Qantas shares are a cheap buy

One expert still has a lot of belief in Qantas shares.

Read more »