Why Nasdaq stock ASML just crashed

The chip equipment specialist offered a weak forecast for 2025.

| More on:
a group of business people sit dejectedly around a table, each expressing desolation, sadness and disappointment by holding their head in their hands, casting their gazes down and looking very glum.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Shares of ASML (NASDAQ: ASML) were tumbling today after the leading producer of lithography equipment for semiconductors accidentally published its earnings results ahead of schedule this morning, and disappointed the market with the news.

As a result, the stock was down 16.4% as of 12:01 p.m. ET.

ASML dials back its 2025 forecast

ASML delivered solid results in the third quarter with revenue of 7.47 billion euros, which was equal to $8.14 billion, ahead of estimates at $7.82 billion.

That figure represents 11.2% growth from the quarter a year ago, and 19.6% growth from the second quarter, showing the company is rebounding from an earlier lull in purchases ahead of an expected ramp-up into next year.

The company sold 106 lithography systems in the quarter, up from 89 in the second quarter, and it reported solid growth on the bottom line, as earnings per share (EPS) rose to 5.28 euros, compared to 4.01 euros in the second quarter. That translated into $5.75 in EPS, which compared to $5.27 in the quarter a year ago and beat estimates at $5.33.

CEO Christophe Fouquet said that net sales in the quarter were above guidance, "driven by more DUV [deep ultraviolet machines] and Installed Base Management sales." The installed base management segment mostly refers to service.

However, the company dialled back its forecast for 2025 as Fouquet said:

While there continue to be strong developments and upside potential in AI, other market segments are taking longer to recover. It now appears the recovery is more gradual than previously expected. This is expected to continue in 2025, which is leading to customer cautiousness.

What it means for ASML

That slowdown seems to reflect challenges at customers including Intel and Samsung, who have both slowed their foundry investments recently.

The company guided for revenue of 8.8 billion to 9.2 billion euros in the fourth quarter, but its 2025 forecast of 30 billion to 35 billion euros was below the consensus at 36.3 billion euros.

That forecast understandably disappointed investors, though it reflects market conditions rather than ASML's competitive position. Considering that, this looks like a buying opportunity for patient investors.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

Scott just revealed what he believes could be the 'five best ASX stocks' for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor Jeremy Bowman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ASML. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Intel and has recommended the following options: short November 2024 $24 calls on Intel. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ASML. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
International Stock News

With Warren Buffett stepping down as CEO, will Berkshire Hathaway sell Apple stock?

Or will it find something else to invest in? Let's take a look.

Read more »

Man on his laptop standing next to data centres.
International Stock News

History says now is the time to buy Nvidia stock

History doesn't normally repeat itself, but it often rhymes.

Read more »

Woman relaxing and using her Apple device
International Stock News

16 words from Warren Buffett that should have Apple stock investors excited

Let's see what Buffett had to say and what it means for investors.

Read more »

Legendary share market investing expert and owner of Berkshire Hathaway Warren Buffett
International Stock News

Prediction: Warren Buffett may be shifting out of his Berkshire Hathaway CEO role, but he's not done investing

Let's take a closer look at what may be ahead.

Read more »

A woman sits in a cafe wearing a polka dotted shirt and holding a latte in one hand while reading something on a laptop that is sitting on the table in front of her
International Stock News

Here's why I'm not too worried for Alphabet despite Apple's potential new AI-powered Safari search

Investors panicked when the possibility was floated, but take a step back and look at the bigger picture.

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.
International Stock News

Should you buy Nvidia before May 19?

Nvidia has been firing on all cylinders, and we may have a chance to hear more about this top AI…

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
International Stock News

Should investors be concerned about Berkshire Hathaway's record $348 billion cash position and third consecutive quarter of no stock buybacks?

Here's what the treasure trove of cash and lack of buybacks signal, and if Berkshire is still an excellent value…

Read more »

Woman in business suit holds both hands out with a question mark above each hand.
International Stock News

AMD vs. Nvidia: Which artificial intelligence stock should you buy on the dip?

Which of these two chip stocks is the better option right now?

Read more »