Why this $7 billion ASX 200 stock is falling hard today

Investors were not impressed with this company's performance during the third quarter.

| More on:
A bored woman looking at her computer, it's bad news.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Ampol Ltd (ASX: ALD) shares are having an eventful day on Tuesday.

In early trade, the $7 billion ASX 200 stock fell deep into the red.

The fuel retailer's shares were down as much as 5% to a new 52-week low of $27.68.

Ampol's shares have since recovered most of this decline and are now fighting to get into positive territory.

Why did this ASX 200 stock fall hard?

Investors were quick to hit the sell button today in response to the release of the company's third quarter update.

According to the release, for the three months ended 30 September, group total fuel sales volumes were 6.5 billion litres. This is down 1.7% quarter on quarter and 5.7% on the prior corresponding period.

The latter reflects a 6% decline in Australian sales volumes, a 7.4% decline in International volumes, and a 0.8% decline in New Zealand volumes.

Refinery earnings hit

Weighing even heavier on the ASX 200 stock was likely to be its Lytton Refiner Margin (LRM), which collapsed during the third quarter. It came in at US$1.48 per barrel, down 83% quarter on quarter and 92% year on year.

Management advised that its third-quarter LRM includes the impact of the lower value production mix from the Lytton refinery during the planned Reformer T&I maintenance period, which coincided with significant weakness in global finished and intermediate products margins.

It notes that the reformer experienced performance issues following mechanical completion, requiring additional repair work in September, which led to a slower ramp up. Refinery production for the quarter was 916 ML, which is down 35% quarter on quarter.

The sum of the above is an approximate $100 million negative impact to group RCOP earnings before interest and tax.

And while the refinery was back operating at full capacity, management highlights that it has recently begun experiencing operational issues with the Fluidised Catalytic Cracking Unit (FCCU).

The ASX 200 stock intends to take advantage of the current global refining market environment to effect repairs to the regenerator across the month of November. During this time, the refinery will operate at a reduced rate and is expected to produce approximately 350 million litres of high value product (HVP).

Management is aiming to offset some of these lost earnings with an initial $50 million cost reduction that will be delivered in 2025. It is also pursuing additional opportunities to improve productivity and simplify its business in the period ahead.

Commenting on the quarter, Ampol's CEO, Matt Halliday, said:

Notwithstanding the challenging global refining market and operational performance of Lytton, which has been impacted by a series of one-off events this year, the rest of the business continues to perform well and demonstrate its resilience. We are confident in the steps we are taking at Lytton to enable stronger operational performance in 2025 which should coincide with the refiner margin impact of production run-cuts currently being taken across the world.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on 52-Week Lows

Dollar sign in yellow with a red falling arrow in front of a graph, symbolising a falling share price.
Materials Shares

Ouch: The Pilbara Minerals share price just hit a multi-year low

It's been a tough day for lithium investors.

Read more »

A man holds his head as he looks at his laptop and contemplates more bills to pay.
Technology Shares

Guess which ASX 200 tech stock just crashed 13% on news from Microsoft?

The tech giant has dealt this company a blow. Let's see what is happening.

Read more »

Investor covering eyes in front of laptop
Materials Shares

Why are Syrah Resources shares crashing 32%?

This mining stock is being hammered again. What's going on?

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Industrials Shares

This ASX share is tumbling 13% on reduced earnings forecast

Earnings are expected to fall in the first half, much to the dismay of the market.

Read more »

A businesswoman exhales a deep sigh after receiving bad news, and gets on with it.
52-Week Lows

Down 68% from highs, this ASX 200 stock just hit a 4-year low. Time to pounce?

Is this beaten down stock a buy? Let's see what one leading broker is saying.

Read more »

A female Woolworths customer leans on her shopping trolley as she rests her chin in her hand thinking about what to buy for dinner while also wondering why the Woolworths share price isn't doing as well as Coles recently
52-Week Lows

Why is the Woolworths share price at its lowest point since 2020?

We haven't seen Woolies shares this low since COVID.

Read more »

a woman looks down at her phone with a look of concern on her face and her hand held to her chin while she seriously digests the news she is receiving.
52-Week Lows

3 ASX 200 shares hitting multi-year lows while the market rallies: Time to buy?

These three ASX 200 shares are missing out on the market rally.

Read more »

Female worker sitting desk with head in hand and looking fed up
52-Week Lows

Mineral Resources shares hit an almost 4-year low. What's going on?

It's been a bad few days to own this stock...

Read more »