This ASX 200 uranium stock could rise almost 70% in a year

Bell Potter is bullish about this mining stock. Let's see why.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you are looking for some big returns for your investment portfolio, then Boss Energy Ltd (ASX: BOE) shares could be worth a look.

That's the view of analysts at Bell Potter, which believe the ASX 200 uranium stock could be dirt cheap at current levels.

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.

Image source: Getty Images

What is the broker saying about this ASX 200 uranium stock?

Bell Potter notes that it recently attended the Alta Mesa site visit and opening ceremony.

Alta Mesa is co-owned and operated by enCore Energy and Boss Energy and is an in-situ-recovery (ISR) style operation in South Texas.

Following the site visit, the broker has been looking at its valuation of the ASX uranium stock. It notes that even with a pessimistic price outlook, Boss Energy shares would be attractively priced. The broker said:

With uranium equities gaining momentum, we thought we would stress-test our pricing assumptions. BOE remains largely uncontracted, with the contracts they do have being market-linked with floors and ceilings, thus it is highly leveraged to the spot uranium price.

Assuming spot to perpetuity (US$82/lb) our valuation for BOE is $1,845m/$4.50 ps. Under this scenario, BOE trades on an FY26 EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.5x decreasing to 3.6x in FY27, which screens favourably against global peers.

BOE remains attractive on a pessimistic price outlook, one which if it were to hold true would see additional greenfield supply fail to enter the market, thus increasing the value (and premium) for those currently in production.

However, Bell Potter is more positive on uranium and thus its valuation is much higher than $4.50.

Big returns on the way

According to the note, the broker has reaffirmed its buy rating and $5.70 price target on the ASX 200 uranium stock. Based on its current share price of $3.42, this implies potential upside of 67% for investors over the next 12 months.

Commenting on its bullish view of the stock, the broker adds:

We have adjusted our ramp up timeline for Alta Mesa, allowing for a slower start, with higher initial unit costs. We believe BOE to be attractively priced vs offshore peers, with a high degree of leverage to rising uranium prices. Execution at Honeymoon remains critical, with 1Q results expected in late October a key catalyst.

All in all, this could make Boss Energy an ASX 200 uranium stock to buy now if you are feeling positive about the outlook of the chemical element and nuclear power.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

Are investors taking a massive gamble by chasing the Woodside share price higher?

Woodside shares surge as oil prices and Middle East risks intensify.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.
Energy Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX penny stock could rocket 90%

This is a high risk, high reward pick from the broker.

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

Down 40% last week, are Amplitude Energy shares now a buy?

Should investors buy the dip?

Read more »

Worker on a laptop at an oil and gas pipeline.
Energy Shares

Woodside shares slip as WA cyclone disrupts gas operations

WA cyclone hits Woodside operations as shares edge lower.

Read more »

Hand holding out coal in front of a coal mine.
Energy Shares

Why New Hope, Yancoal and Whitehaven shares are storming higher on Friday

Investors are piling into New Hope, Yancoal, and Whitehaven shares in Friday’s falling market. But why?

Read more »

An oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face.
Energy Shares

New ratings on 4 ASX 200 energy shares: experts

Leading brokers have recently updated their ratings and 12-month share price targets.

Read more »

Oil worker giving a thumbs up in an oil field.
Energy Shares

Which emerging ASX gas producer could deliver almost 80% gains?

This NT-focused gas company has a big year ahead of it.

Read more »

Black barrels of oil in ascending and then descending sizes with a red arrow pointing down to indicate a falling oil price.
Energy Shares

Why are ASX 200 energy shares tumbling today?

The Brent Crude oil price slipped below US$100 per barrel today.

Read more »