This ASX 200 uranium stock could rise almost 70% in a year

Bell Potter is bullish about this mining stock. Let's see why.

| More on:
A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you are looking for some big returns for your investment portfolio, then Boss Energy Ltd (ASX: BOE) shares could be worth a look.

That's the view of analysts at Bell Potter, which believe the ASX 200 uranium stock could be dirt cheap at current levels.

What is the broker saying about this ASX 200 uranium stock?

Bell Potter notes that it recently attended the Alta Mesa site visit and opening ceremony.

Alta Mesa is co-owned and operated by enCore Energy and Boss Energy and is an in-situ-recovery (ISR) style operation in South Texas.

Following the site visit, the broker has been looking at its valuation of the ASX uranium stock. It notes that even with a pessimistic price outlook, Boss Energy shares would be attractively priced. The broker said:

With uranium equities gaining momentum, we thought we would stress-test our pricing assumptions. BOE remains largely uncontracted, with the contracts they do have being market-linked with floors and ceilings, thus it is highly leveraged to the spot uranium price.

Assuming spot to perpetuity (US$82/lb) our valuation for BOE is $1,845m/$4.50 ps. Under this scenario, BOE trades on an FY26 EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.5x decreasing to 3.6x in FY27, which screens favourably against global peers.

BOE remains attractive on a pessimistic price outlook, one which if it were to hold true would see additional greenfield supply fail to enter the market, thus increasing the value (and premium) for those currently in production.

However, Bell Potter is more positive on uranium and thus its valuation is much higher than $4.50.

Big returns on the way

According to the note, the broker has reaffirmed its buy rating and $5.70 price target on the ASX 200 uranium stock. Based on its current share price of $3.42, this implies potential upside of 67% for investors over the next 12 months.

Commenting on its bullish view of the stock, the broker adds:

We have adjusted our ramp up timeline for Alta Mesa, allowing for a slower start, with higher initial unit costs. We believe BOE to be attractively priced vs offshore peers, with a high degree of leverage to rising uranium prices. Execution at Honeymoon remains critical, with 1Q results expected in late October a key catalyst.

All in all, this could make Boss Energy an ASX 200 uranium stock to buy now if you are feeling positive about the outlook of the chemical element and nuclear power.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Energy Shares

Macquarie tips 23% upside for this ASX All Ords mining stock

Let's see why the broker thinks this stock could be a top buy.

Read more »

a group of three electricity workers stand smiling wearing hard hats and high visibility vests in front of an array of high voltage power equipment.
Energy Shares

Macquarie raises price target on Origin Energy shares

The broker just raised it's price target. Here's why.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Energy Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX 200 uranium stock is a top buy

Let's find out why the broker is feeling bullish on this stock.

Read more »

Worker on a laptop at an oil and gas pipeline.
Energy Shares

Boss Energy shares have surged 93% since April. Here's what Macquarie expects now

Boss Energy shares remain a favourite for ASX short sellers. Are they in a for a payday or headed for…

Read more »

A young man wearing glasses writes down his stock picks in his living room.
Energy Shares

3 reasons to buy this beaten down ASX 200 coal stock today

A leading expert forecasts a big potential rebound ahead for this quality ASX 200 coal stock.

Read more »

Female miner uses mobile phone at mine site
Energy Shares

Here are the latest growth forecasts for the Pilbara Minerals share price

Can investors charge up their returns with this ASX lithium share?

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet.
Energy Shares

Top 5 ASX 200 energy shares of FY25 amid a challenging year for sector

The energy sector was the weakest of the 11 market sectors in FY25.

Read more »

An oil worker on a tablet with an oil rig in the background.
Energy Shares

Buying Woodside shares? Here's the latest oil price forecast from Goldman Sachs

Here’s what Goldman Sachs is forecasting for the oil price in the year ahead.

Read more »