Is the greatest threat to Appen shares a 27-year-old AI billionaire?

Tech is a constantly evolving landscape.

| More on:
a man in a business suit stands on top of an office chair in a sea of murky water with shark fins circling.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) shares have been major outperformers in 2024 and are up more than 211% since January.

The ASX tech stock has surged more than 106% in the past month alone, as global sentiment around artificial intelligence (AI) continues to drive investment into AI companies.

Appen has been a dominant player in the AI data training space for some time now. But it faces growing competition from a 27-year-old billionaire and his rapidly expanding AI company, Scale AI.

Could this be the biggest threat to Appen's future growth? Let's dive in and see.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Appen PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALL1 Oct 20234 Oct 2024Zoom ▾Nov '23Jan '24Mar '24May '24Jul '24Sep '24Oct '23Oct '23Jan '24Jan '24Apr '24Apr '24Jul '24Jul '24www.fool.com.au

Appen shares rally by triple-digits

Appen shares have exploded from lows of 43 cents apiece at the end of July and now trade more than 4 times higher at $1.96.

Investors have been betting on the company amid the broader AI boom. The catalyst? Initially, it was Appen's quarterly numbers on July 30.

The company highlighted its US$600,000 profit for the quarter, up from a heavy loss in the prior corresponding period.

CEO Ryan Kolln attributed the turnaround to Appen's growing importance in the generative AI market, where it provides data to leading AI model builders.

And despite a revenue loss due to the termination of its contract with Alphabet Inc Class A (NASDAQ: GOOGL), investors have been "quick to forgive the revenue slide" as my colleague Bernd noted.

As such, investors continue to bid up Appen shares, with the stock up around 8% in the past week.

Scale AI: Appen's emerging competitor

However, the sustained growth in Appen shares could face fresh rivalry from a fast-growing competitor.

Scale AI, founded by 27-year-old AI billionaire Alexandr Wang, has started to make some inroads in the AI data annotation and training market.

The new kid on the block provides labelled data for AI model training, using machine learning to cater to specific industries.

Meanwhile, Appen uses a combination of automation and 'human-in-the-loop' tools in its operations – a point it sees as an advantage.

In 2023, Scale AI's revenue grew by 162% year over year, reaching US$760 million.

In comparison, Appen produced sales of $399 million last year. This was down from $570 million the year prior, and more than $600 million in 2021.

Scale AI's growth trajectory has been fuelled by its close ties with companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Cohere, which use Scale AI to train large language models (LLMs).

Scale AI's ability to handle massive datasets and complex AI projects quickly is becoming increasingly attractive to tech giants seeking faster, more scalable solutions.

Compared to Appen, its AI and machine learning technology can "significantly reduce project turnaround times."

This could challenge Appen's business model, which relies heavily on its global workforce for data annotation and training rather than machine learning alone.

Still, Appen boasts a platform of more than 1 million freelance workers across more than 170 countries. Time will tell which side wins the race and what impact the competition will have on Appen shares.

Foolish takeaway

Appen shares may have enjoyed a dramatic rebound in 2024. But in classic tech fashion, the company faces disruption from players like Scale AI.

In the last 12 months, Appen has climbed 92.4%.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Appen. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

group of traders cheering at stock market
Technology Shares

Codan shares near an all time high. Can they go higher?

Is there more room for growth for this ASX 200 company? 

Read more »

Kid putting a coin in a piggy bank.
Technology Shares

Why I think this ASX small-cap stock is a bargain at $4.41

This tech business has a lot going for it.

Read more »

The last piece of the jigsaw being fitted, indicating good news for a share price on merger or acquisition
Mergers & Acquisitions

WiseTech share price storms higher on $3.25b blockbuster acquisition

What is the company spending billions on? Let's find out.

Read more »

A businessman stacks building blocks.
Technology Shares

6% gain! What's up with Block shares today?

Block shares are up more than 34% since 2 May.

Read more »

Happy work colleagues give each other a fist pump.
Technology Shares

Guess which ASX 200 technology stock has outperformed Nvidia over the past 5 years?

This company has been nothing short of impressive.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Technology Shares

After surging 13% yesterday, are TechnologyOne shares a buy, hold or sell according to Macquarie?

Valuations matter when investing, and Macquarie feels no different.

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment or business plan at their office.
Technology Shares

Why Goldman Sachs rates this ASX tech share as a top buy

Let's see why the broker rates this stock highly right now.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Technology Shares

WiseTech shares have surged 34% since April. Is it too late to buy?

Can WiseTech shares keep charging higher? Here’s what this investing expert expects.

Read more »