Can the CSL share price push back above $300?

The biotech last traded there on September 9.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) share price hit a 52-week closing high of $312.15 on 23 July before turning to the downside.

Shares are down more than 6% in the past month, currently fetching $286.28 at the close on Monday.

Despite this volatility, some analysts believe there's a strong case for a recovery, with a path that could see the biotech giant's share price climb back above $300.

Scientists working in the laboratory and examining results.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is CSL's share price down?

The CSL share price was heavily sold after its FY24 results. Added to that, its FY25 guidance came in weaker than expected, which saw investors unload shares en masse in the following weeks.

The ASX healthcare share now expects 5–7% revenue growth this year, which could pull down to 10–13% growth in net profit, respectively.

Interesting to see investors sell down a business projecting double-digit earnings growth in the coming 12 months. However, CSL's price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is currently more than 36 times, even with the recent price declines.

There's a good chance some of the decline relates to the mismatch in forward expectations and the relationship between P/E multiples – which capture expectations by the price paid for $1 of a company's earnings.

Investors aren't willing to pay as high a price for a dollar of the company's earnings as they were previously.

CSL back above $300?

Despite these factors, several brokers have price targets set on the CSL share price above $300 per share.

For starters, those at Bell Potter believe CSL represents an attractive buying opportunity.

The broker's optimism stems from CSL's proven track record, high-quality operations, and solid product portfolio.

The company is also set to benefit from a period of margin recovery, which, analysts say could lead to stronger earnings growth in the next few years.

Bell Potter rates the CSL shares price a buy with a valuation of $316.50, above the threshold.

Meanwhile, Macquarie is similarly bullish, retaining a buy rating on the stock with a $330 price target.

The broker points to CSL's upcoming product developments, including its garadacimab therapy, which could start contributing to revenue next year.

Macquarie also sees the company continuing to generate market share gains thanks to its product offering.

CSL also secured a deal with the United States Government to expand its inventory of the MF59 adjuvant – part of its CSL Seqirus business.

The multi-year agreement, worth US$121.4 million to CSL, will bolster the biotech giant's pandemic preparedness.

The stock is rated a buy from consensus, according to CommSec data.

Foolish takeaway

While the CSL share price has seen recent headwinds, several brokers say the company's fundamentals could see it trade above $300 apiece again.

The stock is up more than 16% in the past year.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

Man jumps for joy in front of a background of a rising stocks graphic.
Healthcare Shares

3 ASX healthcare stocks tipped to soar over 100% higher this year

These ASX shares are on my radar this week.

Read more »

Scientists working in the laboratory and examining results.
Opinions

3 reasons to buy CSL shares today

The ASX biotech company has great growth potential this year.

Read more »

a man lies on his back on grass with his eyes shut and a contented look on his face as though he is dreaming
Broker Notes

With global populations ageing, are ResMed shares a good buy today?

A leading expert delivers his verdict on the outlook for ResMed shares.

Read more »

Wife and husband with a laptop on a sofa over the moon at good news.
Healthcare Shares

Why are Telix shares racing 8% higher today?

Telix shares are now 11% higher for the year-to-date.

Read more »

Health professional working on his laptop.
Healthcare Shares

Why Cochlear and ResMed shares could be strong buys

Wilsons has given its verdict on these big names and it's good.

Read more »

A woman with strawberry blonde hair has a huge smile on her face and fist pumps the air having seen good news on her phone.
Healthcare Shares

Which exciting ASX All Ords stock is jumping on big news?

Let's see what is getting investors excited about this stock on Wednesday.

Read more »

Researchers and doctors with futuristic 3d hologram overlay for body anatomy or dna in hospital clinic.
Healthcare Shares

Exciting clinical news for this ASX healthcare stock earns it a buy recommendation 

Is now the time to buy this exciting healthcare stock?

Read more »

Two lab workers fist pump each other.
Healthcare Shares

How does Bell Potter rate these ASX healthcare stocks?

Let's see what the broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »