Why I think it's time to invest in the major ASX iron ore shares

Time to dig in and buy shares in this sector? I believe so.

| More on:
A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I've been writing regularly about how I've been seeing the ASX iron ore share sector as a cyclical opportunity.

The iron ore price has a major impact on how much profit the ASX mining share can make.

In the last few months, we've seen the iron ore price collapse from above US$140 per tonne to around US$90 per tonne. The reduced demand for iron ore in China has been disappointing, and the global iron ore supply has been increasing.

However, there may be some light at the end of the tunnel for the ASX iron ore shares with positive news out of China.

China launches major stimulus

According to reports by the Australian Financial Review, the People's Bank of China governor Pan Gongsheng announced a reduction in the amount of money that banks must hold in reserve. This reduction is the lowest level since at least 2020. The Chinese interest rate also decreased.  

The AFR also reported that the bank has lowered borrowing costs on US$5.3 trillion of mortgages and eased rules for second-home purchases. China will also allow funds and brokers to utilise the People's Bank of China money to buy shares.

Reuters reported that the average interest rate for existing mortgages was being lowered by 50 basis points, while the minimum house deposit on all types of homes has been reduced to 15%.

Bloomberg Economics China economist Eric Zhu was quoted by the newspaper as saying:

At a minimum, this will give a much-needed boost to sentiment. Our baseline forecast has been for growth to come in at 4.7% this year.

This powerful package of monetary stimulus suggests growth could approach the 5% target.

Why I'm more bullish on ASX iron ore shares

I'm not expecting this announcement to send the iron ore price back to US$140 per tonne any time soon. However, I do think it could help spur the Chinese economy back towards a recovery.

If China can get its economy back into spending, investing, and material growth, then the ASX's major iron ore shares, BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO), and even Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG), could benefit.

Any noticeable increase in the iron ore price should help improve the miners' monthly profit materially. That would be good news for profits, dividends, and share prices.

I like Rio Tinto and BHP for their growing copper exposure as well. Copper is appealing because of the electrification trend around the world.

With the Rio Tinto share price 14% lower and the BHP share price 11% lower than in May, I'm still calling them appealing opportunities. But if their share prices keep regaining ground, I'd suggest the ASX iron ore share sector eventually won't be the market-beating idea that it appears today.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Fortescue. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Two miners standing together.
Resources Shares

BHP share price stepping higher as Brazilian court rules on 2015 dam disaster

BHP responded this morning to news reports of the Brazilian court ruling.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Here's a fund manager's bull case for Mineral Resources shares

It’s a rough time for this stock. Let’s dig into whether it’s an opportunity.

Read more »

Australian notes and coins symbolising dividends.
Resources Shares

The BHP dividend doesn't attract me – Here's why

I’m steering clear of BHP as a passive income stock for a few reasons.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

The Mineral Resources share price just slumped another 7%. Here's why

Investors are bidding down Mineral Resources shares on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Female miner smiling in front of mining vehicle.
Resources Shares

Guess which ASX lithium share is racing 8% higher on record production

Investors are sending the ASX lithium share racing higher on Wednesday.

Read more »

a sad looking engineer or miner wearing a high visibility jacket and a hard hat stands alone with his head bowed and hand to his forehead as he speaks on a mobile telephone out front of what appears to be an on site work shed.
Resources Shares

Why is the Fortescue share price tanking 7% this week?

There are several factors weighing on the iron ore giant this week.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Up 7% in a month, are Pilbara Minerals shares in the buy zone?

Lithium continues to be a sore spot for many ASX stocks.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

South32 shares sink amid $33 million copper investment

Copper continues to be in hot demand.

Read more »