Why I think it's time to invest in the major ASX iron ore shares

Time to dig in and buy shares in this sector? I believe so.

| More on:
A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I've been writing regularly about how I've been seeing the ASX iron ore share sector as a cyclical opportunity.

The iron ore price has a major impact on how much profit the ASX mining share can make.

In the last few months, we've seen the iron ore price collapse from above US$140 per tonne to around US$90 per tonne. The reduced demand for iron ore in China has been disappointing, and the global iron ore supply has been increasing.

However, there may be some light at the end of the tunnel for the ASX iron ore shares with positive news out of China.

China launches major stimulus

According to reports by the Australian Financial Review, the People's Bank of China governor Pan Gongsheng announced a reduction in the amount of money that banks must hold in reserve. This reduction is the lowest level since at least 2020. The Chinese interest rate also decreased.  

The AFR also reported that the bank has lowered borrowing costs on US$5.3 trillion of mortgages and eased rules for second-home purchases. China will also allow funds and brokers to utilise the People's Bank of China money to buy shares.

Reuters reported that the average interest rate for existing mortgages was being lowered by 50 basis points, while the minimum house deposit on all types of homes has been reduced to 15%.

Bloomberg Economics China economist Eric Zhu was quoted by the newspaper as saying:

At a minimum, this will give a much-needed boost to sentiment. Our baseline forecast has been for growth to come in at 4.7% this year.

This powerful package of monetary stimulus suggests growth could approach the 5% target.

Why I'm more bullish on ASX iron ore shares

I'm not expecting this announcement to send the iron ore price back to US$140 per tonne any time soon. However, I do think it could help spur the Chinese economy back towards a recovery.

If China can get its economy back into spending, investing, and material growth, then the ASX's major iron ore shares, BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO), and even Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG), could benefit.

Any noticeable increase in the iron ore price should help improve the miners' monthly profit materially. That would be good news for profits, dividends, and share prices.

I like Rio Tinto and BHP for their growing copper exposure as well. Copper is appealing because of the electrification trend around the world.

With the Rio Tinto share price 14% lower and the BHP share price 11% lower than in May, I'm still calling them appealing opportunities. But if their share prices keep regaining ground, I'd suggest the ASX iron ore share sector eventually won't be the market-beating idea that it appears today.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Fortescue. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Should I buy Pilbara Minerals or Mineral Resources shares? Here's Macquarie's take

Mineral Resources and Pilbara Minerals shares are both down more than 60% in a year, but Macquarie forecasts a big…

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Does Macquarie rate Fortescue shares a buy, hold or sell?

Down 42% in a year, does Macquarie think Fortescue shares are now a good buy?

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Resources Shares

Rock solid: How have mining and metals shares fared in 2025?

Who is leading so far?

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Mineral Resources share price slides despite significant reserves growth

An 89% resources upgrade hasn’t boosted Mineral Resources shares today.

Read more »

Copal miner standing in front of coal.
Resources Shares

How much upside does Macquarie tip for New Hope shares?

A softer-than-expected quarter has impacted the broker's view.

Read more »

2 people at mining site, bhp share price, mining shares
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto share price pushes higher on $1.4 billion lithium agreement

Rio Tinto shares are gaining major lithium exposure.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Up 73% since April, why Mineral Resources shares could keep charging higher

A leading expert says that Mineral Resources shares remain ‘heavily undervalued’. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Resources Shares

Guess which ASX 200 mining stock is sinking 7% following its quarterly update

Let's see how this miner performed during the third quarter.

Read more »