1 ASX dividend stock down 38% to buy today

I think this company has impressive investment income credentials.

| More on:
Young happy people on a farm raise bottles of orange juice in a big cheers to celebrate a dividends or financial win.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX dividend stock APA Group (ASX: APA) has suffered a significant decline in the last two years. The APA share price is down 39% from August 2022, and I think it's now very good value.

APA is one of the largest energy infrastructure businesses in Australia. Its portfolio of assets includes 15,000km of natural gas pipelines connecting sources and markets across mainland Australia. The company delivers approximately half of the country's natural gas usage.

It owns or has interests in gas storage facilities, gas-fired power stations and renewable energy generation (wind and solar farms).

Here are three factors that make me believe this ASX dividend stock is an underrated buy.

Large yield

For a share investment to be more appealing than interest from a bank, I think the dividend yield needs to be competitive with (or better than) a term deposit rate.

APA recently reported its 2024 financial year result, which included an annual distribution per share of 56 cents. That translates into a trailing distribution yield of 7.6%.

The company has provided guidance that in FY25, it will pay a distribution per security of 57 cents. That translates into a forward distribution yield of 7.75%.

Those yields are far better, in my view than the interest rates Aussie banks are offering.

Impressive growth record

Not many ASX dividend stocks have grown their dividend in consecutive years for the past decade. Only two companies have increased their dividends every year for the past two decades. Those two companies are APA and Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (ASX: SOL).

APA has grown its distribution every year since 2004, and I've already mentioned that it expects to grow its annual payout in FY25, extending the record. That's a great record in my book.

Growth is not guaranteed, but the business is doing what it can to keep that record going.  

Ongoing operational growth

The higher cost of debt is a headwind for the business, but there are a number of positives that can help APA's growth in the foreseeable future.

Firstly, its revenue is largely linked to CPI inflation, so this period of higher inflation is a tailwind for the business.

Secondly, APA is investing in building more energy infrastructure, including new pipelines to connect new customers or sources of supply. This is a significant method of unlocking more cash flow for the business. More cash flow translates into bigger distributions.

Thirdly, the company has made acquisitions recently relating to electricity transmission, renewable energy generation and storage.

When we put all of these elements together, the ASX dividend stock is able to grow revenue and invest for growth while still increasing its annual distribution.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Apa Group and Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

An older couple dance in their living room as they enjoy their retirement funded by ASX dividends
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend shares for 5% to 8% yields

Analysts think big yields could be coming from these buy-rated shares.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Dividend Investing

Analysts say these 4 ASX dividend shares are top buys

Income investors might want to check out these buy-rated stocks this month.

Read more »

A couple working on a laptop laugh as they discuss their ASX share portfolio.
Dividend Investing

Buy Rio Tinto and these ASX dividend stocks

Analysts think income investors should be snapping up these stocks.

Read more »

Young happy athletic woman listening to music on earphones while jogging in the park, symbolising passive income.
How to invest

Here's my $3 a day ASX passive income plan for 2025

ASX dividend stocks provide a unique path for building a passive income stream.

Read more »

Woman with $50 notes in her hand thinking, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

What's the outlook for ASX dividend shares in 2025?

Here’s what could happen next year with the ASX’s leading dividend stocks.

Read more »

A woman looks excited as she holds Australian dollars in the air.
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend stocks for ~6% yields

These income options have been named as buys by analysts.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

2 high-yield ASX dividend shares for Australian retirees

Analysts have named these high-yield shares as buys. Let's see why they are bullish.

Read more »

Happy woman relaxing on a pink floating mattress in sea.
Dividend Investing

Invest $7,000 in this ASX dividend stock for $542 in passive income

This dividend share is piping in a lot of investment income to investors’ bank accounts.

Read more »