Brokers tip the BHP share price to rise 25% to 27%

Brokers think big returns could be on offer from this mining giant's shares.

| More on:
CSR share price rising asx share price represented my man in hard hat giving thumbs up

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has been having a tough time recently.

So much so, the mining giant's shares are down 24% from their highs and trading within a whisker of their 52-week low.

Does this make its shares a bargain buy now? Let's see what analysts are saying about the Big Australian.

Is the BHP share price in the bargain bin?

While recent share price weakness has been disappointing, it could prove to be a buying opportunity based on what analysts are saying.

For example, late last month the team at Morgans put an add rating and $48.30 price target on its shares. Based on the current BHP share price, this implies potential upside of almost 25% for investors over the next 12 months.

Morgans likes the miner due to its diverse high-margin operations, which will soon include exposure to potash. It said:

BHP has extensive iron ore, copper, nickel and coal operations, and will soon add potash to its portfolio once its massive Jansen project comes online in late 2026. Besides nickel, which has proven volatile, the rest of BHP's basket of market exposures share the similar characteristic of typically boasting bumper margins throughout the cycle.

Morgans also expects a 5.4% fully franked divided yield from its shares in FY 2025.

Who else is bullish?

Another broker that sees significant value in the BHP share price is Goldman Sachs.

Its analysts have a buy rating and $49.10 price target on its shares, which implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors from current levels.

And while the broker is expecting a smaller dividend yield of 4.5% in FY 2025, this is still above average for the Australian share market.

Goldman thinks its shares are undervalued based on its superior margins and operating performance. It recently commented:

BHP is currently trading at ~5.5x NTM EBITDA (25-yr average EV/EBITDA of 6.6x), a premium to RIO on ~4.5x; and at 0.85xNAV vs RIO at 0.75x NAV. Over the last 10 years, BHP has traded at a ~0.5x premium to global mining peers. We believe this premium can be partly maintained due to ongoing superior margins and operating performance (particularly in Pilbara iron ore where BHP maintains superior FCF/t vs. peers).

All in all, these brokers appear to believe that the mining giant's shares are a great option for anyone looking for exposure to this side of the market.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Three construction workers discuss plans in the background behind a stack of metal pipes.
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

ASX materials shares had the strongest run while the ASX 200 rose 1.95% to reach a 6-week high on Friday.

Read more »

A group of three men in hard hats and high visibility vests stand together at a mine site while one points and the others look on with piles of dirt and mining equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

This ASX mining stock is jumping 14% after signing a deal with Rio Tinto

A $17 million deal has been struck between the two companies.

Read more »

A mining worker clenches his fists celebrating success at sunset in the mine.
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares could be set for a bull run if this 25% forecast is right

Top broker Citi predicts a 20% to 25% rise in lithium commodity prices over the next 2 to 3 months.

Read more »

A man in a hard hat and high visibility vest holds his thumb up in a gesture of confidence with heavy moving equipment in the background as on a mine site as the Chalice Mining share price rises today.
Materials Shares

Top broker forecasts Mineral Resources share price could soar another 30%

Up 25% in two days, this leading broker thinks Mineral Resources shares have a lot more to give.

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Materials Shares

Why is the BHP share price sinking on Thursday?

Here's why today's decline could actually be good news for shareholders.

Read more »

Two fists connect in a surge of power, indicating strong share price growth or new partnerships for ASC mining and resource companies
Materials Shares

Why are ASX lithium shares receiving a jolt of energy today?

These stocks are dramatically surging today...

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Which All Ords ASX lithium share is slowing up and downsizing today?

All Ords investors are bidding down the ASX lithium share on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Why are Core Lithium shares outperforming on Monday?

This lithium miner is making some interesting moves. Let's see what's happening.

Read more »