Are Pilbara Minerals shares a buy following its results

What is this broker saying about the lithium giant? Let's find out.

| More on:
Two brokers analysing stocks.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) shares pushed higher on Monday following the release of the miner's full year results.

The lithium giant's shares rose 1.5% to $3.02.

This was despite Pilbara Minerals reporting a 69% decline in revenue to $1,254 million, an 84% decline in EBITDA to $538 million, and an 86% reduction in its underlying profit after tax to $318 million.

This was unsurprisingly driven by a collapse in lithium prices during FY 2024, with the company's realised price falling 74% year on year.

Also coming as no surprise was news that the company would not be paying a final dividend for the year.

Should you buy Pilbara Minerals shares now?

Bell Potter has been busy running the rule over the company's results and notes that its profits fell well short of expectations. However, it concedes that there was a reason for this. The broker explains:

PLS reported FY24 EBITDA of $538m (BP est. $578m), a 43% EBTIDA margin; and underlying NPAT of $318m (BP est. $361m). The deviation from our estimates was largely due to procurement and construction spend on the mid-stream demonstration plant, required to be expensed while it is considered a research and development project.

One positive was news that the lithium miner has signed an agreement for a major new debt facility. It feels that this shows the maturity of the business. It adds:

PLS has received commitments from a consortium of banks, to provide a new $1b senior secured revolving credit facility. The facility is planned to refinance existing debt, improve financing costs, reduce covenants, and provide greater flexibility to pursue growth opportunities. We estimate the facility takes total pro-forma cash liquidity to ~$2.3b. Additionally, PLS has updated its capital management framework to include a leverage target of less than 1.5x net senior debt/EBITDA through the lithium price cycle.

What's the verdict?

In response to the results, Bell Potter has retained its hold rating and $3.15 price target on Pilbara Minerals' shares. This implies modest potential upside of 3.6% for investors over the next 12 months. It concludes:

PLS is a large, liquid and clean exposure to global lithium fundamentals and sentiment. PLS is a low-cost producer, it operates in a tier one jurisdiction in Western Australia, and has a strong balance sheet ($1.6b cash at 30 June 2024) which can withstand weaker lithium prices and support expansion programs. We are confident that EV-led demand will see strong long-term lithium market fundamentals. Weak near-term lithium market sentiment results in us retaining our Hold recommendation

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

How much could $5,000 invested in BHP shares be worth in a year?

Here's what one leading broker believes could happen with this miner's shares next year.

Read more »

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Materials Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX lithium stock could rocket 90%+ in 2025

Let's see why the broker is bullish on this lithium developer.

Read more »

A female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

Forget Fortescue shares and buy this ASX iron ore stock

Bell Potter thinks this iron ore miner could deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Are ASX lithium shares prime real estate for value hunters?

Can these stocks recharge returns for investors?

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Are Rio Tinto shares a buy for its lithium plans?

Let's see what one leading broker is saying about the mining giant.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX 300 lithium stock is rocketing 20% on huge Volkswagen news

Not all shares are being dragged lower by the market today.

Read more »

Dollar sign in yellow with a red falling arrow in front of a graph, symbolising a falling share price.
Materials Shares

Ouch: The Pilbara Minerals share price just hit a multi-year low

It's been a tough day for lithium investors.

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Materials Shares

Big ASX news: CEO buys 2.5 million Sayona Mining shares

This CEO has finally made a big share purchase.

Read more »