How much passive income can I earn from BHP shares?

Here's what analysts are predicting for the Big Australian's dividends.

| More on:
A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares are a popular option for passive income.

That's because the mining giant is one of the most generous dividend payers in the world.

Every year, it shares a large portion of its profits with its lucky shareholders.

And while the size of these dividends will change depending on commodity prices, you can usually count on BHP shares to provide an attractive dividend yield.

So, with the BHP share price hitting a 52-week low this month, let's see what sort of passive income could be on the cards for buyers at these levels.

BHP dividends

As we covered here, the consensus estimate is for a fully franked dividend of US$1.46 in FY 2024. This equates to A$2.17 per share in local currency and represents a 5.3% dividend yield based on where BHP shares currently trade.

However, it is worth remembering that this full year dividend includes the 72 US cents per share interim dividend that BHP paid earlier this year.

This means that a final dividend of 74 US cents per share (110.4 Australian cents per share) is expected by the market next week.

After which, analysts at Goldman Sachs expect a fully franked US$1.23 per share (A$1.835 per share) dividend in FY 2025 and then a US$1.21 per share (A$1.805 per share) dividend in FY 2026.

Passive income

Based on the above, let's look at what sort of passive income you could generate from BHP's shares with different sized investments.

And to simplify things, I'm going to bundle BHP's final dividend for FY 2024 in with its FY 2025 dividends as they will all be paid within the next ~13 months.

If you were to invest $10,000 into BHP shares you would receive the following passive income:

  • Next 13 months: US$481 or A$717
  • FY 2026: US$295 or A$440

A $25,000 investment would yield the following:

  • Next 13 months: US$1,200 or A$1,790
  • FY 2026: US$739 or A$1,100

Finally, a $2,000 investment would produce the following passive income:

  • Next 13 months: US$97 or A$145
  • FY 2026: US$59 or A$88

Should you invest?

Goldman Sachs thinks investors could get great returns if they buy BHP shares at current levels.

The broker has a buy rating and $48.40 price target on them. This implies potential upside of almost 18% for investors over the next 12 months.

Combined with its passive income, this would mean a 12-month total return comfortably beyond 20%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

An older executive man dressed in suit trousers and a white shirt sits against a wall smiling with cash rains down over him representing dividend shares like BHP, FMG and Newcrest paying dividends in retirement
How to invest

How you can earn $10,000 a year in passive income from a $10k ASX 200 investment today!

Looking to boost your retirement with an extra $10,000 a year in passive income. Read on...

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Dividend Investing

Bell Potter names the best ASX dividend shares to buy in June

Bell Potter thinks these are among the best shares for income investors to buy right now.

Read more »

a man leans back in his chair with his arms supporting his head as he smiles a satisfied smile while sitting at his desk with his laptop computer open in front of him.
Dividend Investing

With a 5% dividend yield, why I think this leading ASX share is a buy

I think this business offers pleasing income with potential capital gains too.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Dividend Investing

3 top ASX dividend shares for income investors to buy

Analysts have good things to say about these income options.

Read more »

Woman smiling whilst shopping in a clothing store.
Dividend Investing

Why this quality ASX 300 dividend stock is tipped to surge 54%

A leading fund manager forecasts significant outperformance from this quality ASX 300 dividend stock.

Read more »

Man smiling at a laptop because of a rising share price.
Dividend Investing

Why this is one of my top ASX dividend shares to buy in June

This ASX dividend share provides everything I’m looking for.

Read more »

A happy young couple lie on a wooden deck using a skateboard for a pillow.
Dividend Investing

Forget Westpac and buy these ASX dividend shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these income options.

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment or business plan at their office.
Dividend Investing

Brokers say Harvey Norman and these ASX dividend stocks are buys

Let's see what brokers are recommending as buys for income investors.

Read more »