Down 5% in a month, is this ASX bargain share too cheap to ignore?

Valuations are relatively cheap for this insurance giant.

| More on:
Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

With the ASX roaring back towards its previous highs, you might think the scope to nab a bargain share is severely limited.

But there are pockets of value amongst this sea of high valuation multiples.

QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE) has recently seen its share price dip by 5% over the past month and now trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 9.4 times.

That means you are paying less than $10 for every $1 of this insurance giant's earnings. Compare that to the ASX 200, where you are paying nearly $18.50 at the time of writing.

In other words, this ASX insurance giant might just be too cheap to ignore. Let's see what the experts think.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3QBE Insurance PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALL1 Aug 202322 Aug 2024Zoom ▾Sep '23Nov '23Jan '24Mar '24May '24Jul '24Sep '23Sep '23Jan '24Jan '24May '24May '24www.fool.com.au

Why QBE could be an ASX bargain share

QBE's recent price drop could present an attractive entry point for investors based on analyst price targets on the stock.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs are optimistic about QBE's prospects, maintaining its buy rating in an August note.

The broker highlights that QBE's rate increases continue to "be ahead of loss cost inflation", a key factor in maintaining profitability in the insurance sector.

Moreover, QBE's ability to effectively pass on rate increases positions it well against inflationary pressures.

Part of its buy rating is that QBE's valuation is "not demanding," suggesting to me that it is an ASX bargain share.

It rates the stock a buy with a price target of $20 per share. This suggests a potential upside of around 24% over the next 12 months.

Meanwhile, consensus rates QBE a buy as well, according to CommSec.

Dividends might add to the appeal

QBE isn't just a value play on price – we have to factor in the dividend yield.

At the current share price, the ASX bargain share's trailing dividend yield sits at 4.4%. But we don't get paid for what's already happened.

Goldman Sachs projects QBE's dividend to increase to 81 cents in FY24 and 86 cents the following year.

These forecasts translate to dividend yields of 5% and 5.3%, respectively.

This is ahead of consensus forecasts. According to CommSec, consensus estimates project a payment of 76.7 cents per share this year.

In total, if QBE meets Goldman's expectations, investors could see a combined return of approximately 28% over the next year, considering both capital gains and dividends.

Can it get there? The insurance giant doubled net profits to US$802 million in H1 FY24. Gross written premium (GWP) also grew by 1.9%.

Looking ahead, QBE's guidance for FY25 includes a combined operating ratio of around 93.5% and expected GWP growth of 3%.

In my view, this is positive for this ASX bargain share.

Foolish takeaway

QBE's recent price dip could be a tactical buying opportunity for those looking to add an ASX bargain share with income potential to their portfolios. Experts also have a bullish outlook on the company.

QBE shares are up 9% in the past 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

young woman reviewing financial reports at desk with multiple computer screens
Opinions

Brokers' verdict on 4 popular ASX 200 financial stocks

Financials outperformed every other sector in FY25. What should you do now with these 4 stocks?

Read more »

a man in a business suit sits at his laptop computer at his desk and smiles broadly in an office setting, giving an air of optimism and confidence.
Dividend Investing

Up 25% since April, are Macquarie shares still a good buy for passive income?

A leading expert gives his verdict on Macquarie shares and the passive income on offer.

Read more »

A green-caped superhero reveals their identity with a big dollar sign on their chest.
Financial Shares

Own Soul Patts shares? Here's its latest investment for diversification

The company has added further energy exposure to its portfolio.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Financial Shares

2 rising ASX financial shares with 'meaningful upside' still left: fundie

Financials outperformed every other sector in FY25, but there are still buying opportunities left, say these experts.

Read more »

Frustrated and shocked business woman reading bad news online from phone.
Financial Shares

Macquarie shares sink 5% on Q1 update

The investment bank is having a tough start to the year.

Read more »

A man holds his baby on his lap at the dining room table while he looks at his laptop screen earnestly.
Financial Shares

After its result, does Macquarie rate AMP shares a buy, hold or sell?

The financial services company released a strong second-quarter update on Monday.

Read more »

A blockchain investor sits at his desk with a laptop computer open and a phone checking information from a booklet in a home office setting.
Broker Notes

Are non-bank lenders a lucrative alternative to the big 4 banks?

The big 4 banks are widely perceived as being fully valued or overvalued.

Read more »

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.
Financial Shares

ASX 200 financials was the best sector of FY25. But it's time to sell these 2 stocks, say experts

The ASX 200 financials sector gave investors a near-30% total return in the 2025 financial year.

Read more »