Wesfarmers shares are down 6% from their all-time highs. Are they in the buy zone?

The stock has tracked the broader market closely in recent days.

| More on:
A woman sits in her home with chin resting on her hand and looking at her laptop computer with some reflection with an assortment of books and documents on her table.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) shares have taken a hit alongside the broader market in the last week of trading.

After popping to new highs of $73.65 on July 31, the stock was heavily sold as the broader market came under selling pressure.

Before market open today, it was 6% down from this high.

However, as I write, investors are appearing more confident on Tuesday. They are driving the stock 1% higher to swap hands at $69.77 at the time of writing.

With this volatility, is now the time to buy Wesfarmers shares? Let's see what the experts think.

Wesfarmers shares show dominance

Wesfarmers, known for its diverse operations across retail, healthcare, and chemicals, has had a strong year. The share is up nearly 23% since January.

The company's portfolio includes well-known brands such as Bunnings, Kmart, and Priceline Pharmacy, to name a few.

Bunnings and Kmart have performed particularly well, with Bunnings' sales rising by 1.7% and Kmart Group's sales increasing by 5% in the first half of FY24.

Despite thin profit margins, their high sales volumes and excellent returns on capital from these divisions stand out.

This growth enabled Bunnings to capture market share and achieve a 66% return on invested capital (ROIC), while Kmart realised an ROIC of 58.8%.

They are the 'low-cost providers' of many categories. In the event of an economic downturn, this competitive advantage will increase in my view.

Wesfarmers shares also pay a respective dividend. The company recently increased its dividend by 3.4% to 91 cents per share, with further growth expected down the line.

Valuation considerations

Currently, Wesfarmers is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32 times. This is higher than the general market, which trades at a P/E of around 19 times at the time of writing.

While this might seem expensive, the high valuation is partly due to expectations of the company's performance and growth potential.

Wesfarmers is investing in new growth areas, such as lithium mining and healthcare, which could offer additional revenue streams in the future. Investor expectations are very high on these projects, based on the current P/E.

Despite this, broker opinions are mixed. Goldman Sachs has a hold rating on Wesfarmers shares, valuing them at $68 each.

Meanwhile, UBS is bullish and forecasts that Wesfarmers could generate earnings of $2.56 billion in FY24. It then projects earnings growth of 19% per year until FY26.

Moreover, the consensus of analyst estimates rates it a hold, according to CommSec.

Foolish takeaway

Wesfarmers shares are currently trading at a premium despite their recent decline. Alas, brokers are mixed on the company right now.

In my view, it's important to look beyond the market's day-to-day changes and even the year-to-year changes. No one knows where the market will be in a year's time.

The most important factor is having a long-term view. Given its portfolio of companies, Wesfarmers appears well-positioned for the future. Only time will tell.

Whether Wesfarmers shares are in the buy zone for your investment portfolio depends on your risk tolerance and financial goals. Always conduct your own due diligence and consider seeking advice from a financial professional.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

Woman smiles at camera at she buys greens from the supermarket.
Retail Shares

Could the Woolworths share price smash the market in 2025?

Let's see if things will be better for this supermarket giant's shares next year.

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
Retail Shares

Overinvested in Woolworths shares? Here are two alternative ASX retail stocks

Woolworths shares have disappointed this year. I think there could be better retail stocks to buy right now.

Read more »

High fashion look. glamor closeup portrait of beautiful sexy stylish Caucasian young woman model with bright makeup, with red lips, with perfect clean skin.
Retail Shares

Why now could be a great time to buy this high-performing ASX retail stock

This ASX share could be a sparkling opportunity.

Read more »

Young couple at the counter of a hardware store.
Retail Shares

3 encouraging signs for Wesfarmers shares heading into 2025

There are reasons to be positive about Wesfarmers.

Read more »

A young woman wearing a silver bracelet raises her sunglasses in amazement, indicating positive share price movement in jewellery shares.
Retail Shares

This ASX 200 stock is down 22% from its highs, and the CEO is stocking up

Is this a shiny buying opportunity?

Read more »

A warehouse worker is standing next to a shelf and using a digital tablet.
Retail Shares

Is the Wesfarmers share price facing 'significant downside risk'?

2025 could prove trickier for Wesfarmers shares, this leading expert forecasts.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Invested $5,000 in Wesfarmers shares in 2021? Guess how much passive income you've earned

Passive income offers a big boost to the performance of Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

Woman checking out new iPads.
Retail Shares

Better ASX retail buy: Harvey Norman or JB Hi-Fi shares?

ASX retail showdown.

Read more »