TPG shares surge as Vocus shifts back onto the menu

Investors appear to be betting on a deal taking place.

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TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPG) shares are in the green on Monday and are currently trading 0.33% higher at $4.62 apiece.

While the company has not posted anything market-sensitive today, the increase comes amid media reporting that Vocus Group has rekindled its interest in acquiring TPG's fibre network.

TPG shares are down more than 11% this year to date, so this might have reignited investor interest on Monday. This is despite uncertainty surrounding the negotiations' outcome.

Let's take a look.

TPG shares in focus as Vocus reopens talks

Vocus Group is an international telecommunications company that's headquartered in Australia.

Last year, it proposed to acquire TPG's extensive fibre network for $6.3 billion. It would have encompassed the enterprise, government, and wholesale divisions along with its fixed infrastructure assets, including 27,000 kilometres of fibre.

Vocus Group is back in discussions with TPG after initially walking away from its initial proposal, The Australian Financial Review reports.

Talks fell through when both parties couldn't reach a deal.

But TPG shares have been down sharply since then, having slid more than 11% this year to date — at a time when broad markets demonstrated strength.

This latest round of discussions is reportedly in the early stages, and a deal is not guaranteed.

TPG also started a strategic review in October 2022. It has been ongoing since and has yet to yield a sale of its Vision Networks unit.

Vocus's renewed bid, if successful, could impact TPG's financial position with a multi-billion dollar cash injection. What TPG does with those funds next will be pivotal in my view.

TPG's response

TPG responded today with a market update which was labelled as non-sensitive. It said:

At the TPG Annual General Meeting on 3 May 2024, TPG confirmed previous statements that it would continue assessing value-optimising alternatives for its fixed infrastructure assets as part of a strategic review. Vocus Group and TPG have engaged in non-exclusive discussions as part of that strategic review process.

Securityholders should be aware that TPG's discussion with Vocus Group in 2023 did not lead to a transaction and there is no certainty a transaction will eventuate from the current
discussions.

It says it will keep the market posted with any updates, but that hasn't stopped investors from bidding up TPG shares today.

What are brokers saying about TPG shares?

Broker reviews are mixed on TPG shares. Goldman Sachs recently downgraded TPG to a sell rating.

It cited concerns over higher operating expenses and recommended Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) and Spark New Zealand Ltd (ASX: SPK) as alternatives.

Goldman slapped a sell rating on the stock with a $4.35 per share price target.

Meanwhile, the consensus of analysts estimates rates TPG shares a 'moderate buy' according to CommSec.

This is comprised of six buy recommendations and four hold and one sell rating, respectively.

Foolish takeaway

TPG shares are in focus once more. Whilst there are talks of renewed negotiations for its fibre network sale, nothing is concrete.

TPG is down more than 16% in the past year. Always remember to conduct your own due diligence.

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Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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