Why Macquarie's dividend doesn't catch my fancy

I am not excited about the passive income potential of this stock.

| More on:
A bored man sits at his desk, flat after seeing the latest news on the share market.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I'd call Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) one of the best ASX financial shares in Australia. However, I wouldn't describe the Macquarie dividend as a leading option for passive income.

There's a lot to like about the company, with its diversified earnings across different financial activities, including asset management, retail banking and investment banking.

Another appealing factor is that around two-thirds of its earnings come from overseas, unlike the domestic-focused ASX bank shares that earn nearly all of their profit in Australia and New Zealand.

Macquarie has demonstrated its ability to deliver long-term growth. But, its dividend appeal is a different issue, in my view. Let's dig in.

Lower dividend yield

Macquarie is one of the largest financial institutions on the ASX, but its dividend yields aren't correspondingly high.

A dividend yield comprises two factors – the dividend payout ratio and the price/earnings (P/E) ratio. In other words, how much of the annual profit is paid to shareholders and what earnings multiple is the business trading at?

Sometimes, Macquarie picks a lower dividend payout ratio than peers like Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB).

In FY24, Macquarie's board of directors decided on a dividend payout ratio of 70%. According to the forecasts on Commsec, Macquarie is projected to pay a dividend per share of $7 in FY25, representing a dividend payout ratio of approximately 66% of net profit after tax (NPAT).

At the current Macquarie share price, that represents a (partially franked) dividend yield of 3.4%. That's not bad, but we can get a better savings rate from one of Macquarie's savings accounts.

Plenty of ASX dividend shares can offer a stronger dividend yield. However, there's one reason why the Macquarie dividend can become more appealing.

Growth

Macquarie has done a great job at directing its capital towards long-term growth opportunities. The company has grown its earnings significantly over the past 10 or 15 years.

A growing profit can help fund higher dividend payments, too.

Macquarie is projected to increase its payout by 8.6% to $7.60 per share in FY26, translating into a (partially franked) dividend yield of 3.7%.

The broker UBS' forecasts suggest the Macquarie dividend yield could reach more than 5% by FY29.

New capital notes?

Macquarie announced on Friday morning that it is considering the potential launch of a new capital notes offer.

It's being considered as part of Macquarie's regular capital and funding strategy. Macquarie will appoint Macquarie Capital as sole arranger and joint lead manager, as well as a number of other joint lead managers and syndicate brokers. There is no guarantee this offer will proceed, though.

Macquarie share price snapshot

Since the start of 2024, Macquarie shares have lifted 11%, as shown in the chart below.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop
Financial Shares

1 ASX financial stock set to rise while bank shares underperform

Top broker Macquarie is tipping this ASX financial stock to outperform over the next year.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Earnings Results

Bendigo Bank share price slides on mixed outlook for FY 2025

ASX 200 investors are bidding down the Bendigo Bank share price on Monday. But why?

Read more »

A happy elderly woman smiles and cheers as she looks at good investment news on her laptop.
Dividend Investing

Invested $8,000 in CBA shares in 2021? Here's how much passive income you've already earned

The passive income delivered by CBA shares has been on the rise over the past three years.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

ANZ share price dips amid APRA demand for extra $250 million risk capital add-on

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority is not happy with ANZ Bank.

Read more »

An older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks.
Bank Shares

BOQ share price slides as bank confirms up to 400 job cuts

The bank has committed to the cause of streamlining operations.

Read more »

Woman on her laptop thinking to herself.
Bank Shares

Are ANZ shares a buy or a sell?

Let's see what analysts are saying about this banking giant.

Read more »

Man sitting in front of a laptop and analysing an earnings report.
Bank Shares

Why the Westpac share price has got my interest after Q3 earnings

The bank's numbers were better than what I had expected.

Read more »

Man holding a calculator with Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Here's the NAB dividend forecast through to 2026

Are dividend cuts on the horizon for this banking giant?

Read more »