Should I buy BHP shares after a 16% drop?

Here's my take on BHP's current share price.

| More on:
2 people at mining site, bhp share price, mining shares

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

As most ASX investors would be happily aware, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has had a wonderfully successful few months. Over July, the ASX 200 has reset its record high more than once, hitting a top of 8,083.7 points in the middle of the month. But one stock was conspicuously absent from this euphoria – BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares. 

When the market hits a new record high, you can expect to see some of the ASX's major blue chips also reaching new heights. Indeed, the past few months have seen shares ranging from Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) to CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) and Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) clock new 52-week highs of their own.

But not BHP.

Yesterday, the 'Big Australian' closed at $42.07, down 0.07% for the day. Not only does that leave BHP down 2.84% over the past month alone, it means that the mining giant has lost a whopping 16.76% in 2024 to date.

Take a look for yourself below:

As such, we can conclude that the ASX 200 reached new records this month despite BHP shares, not because of them. BHP remains the second-largest stock in the ASX 200 by size and influence, having lost its crown as Australia's largest public company to CBA earlier in the month.

But does the downward trajectory of BHP shares in 2024 mean that investors should take another look at the miner today?

Are BHP shares a buy today after losing 16% in 2024?

Let's put these falls in context first. It's likely that BHP has faced this share price pressure in 2024 due to falling commodity prices. Iron ore, in particular, has come off the boil this year after a few years of record prices.

As one would expect, this seems to have resulted in BHP, as well as other major ASX miners like Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) and Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO), experiencing sharp drops in value over the past seven or so months.

But do these falls leave BHP shares looking cheap?

Well, I would posit that BHP is indeed looking cheap right now. Not bargain-basement cheap, but good value nonetheless. Today, BHP is trading at the same share price as it was in December of 2020. Yet it also currently has a trailing dividend yield (which also comes fully franked) of 5.58%.

This is a world-leading miner with exposure to mostly future-facing commodities like iron ore, copper, nickel and potash. BHP is also no longer meaningfully exposed to oil or thermal coal.

As such, today's pricing is a decent entry point for long-term investors looking for a diversified, world-class resources stock to add to their portfolio.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in CSL, National Australia Bank and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Happy miner with his arms folded.
Broker Notes

Guess which top ASX mining share is tipped for a 75% rally

Top broker Morgan Stanley says this ASX mining share will rally big-time following yesterday's price plunge.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Earnings Results

ASX nickel stock lifts despite 71% profit dive

Nickel Industries released its 1H FY24 results today.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Earnings Results

Up 38% in a year, why is this ASX 200 mining stock tumbling today?

The high-performing ASX 200 mining stock is under selling pressure on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Codan share price A dismayed kid dressed as a scientist stands with his back to a rocket crashed into the ground
Earnings Results

Mineral Resources share price craters 9% as plunging profits suspend dividend

With profits fading and no final dividend, investors are punishing Mineral Resources shares today.

Read more »

Pilbara Minerals engineer with hard hat looks through binoculars at work site or mine as two workers look on
Earnings Results

Why are Fortescue shares trailing BHP and Rio Tinto today?

Fortescue shares are trailing rivals BHP and Rio Tinto on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Everything you need to know about the 89 cents Fortescue dividend

Let’s dig into the details of the next payment.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Earnings Results

Lynas share price gains on brighter FY 2025 rare earths outlook

Lynas shares are shaking off the broader ASX 200 retrace on Wednesday.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in businessman pocket suit, symbolising ex dividend day.
Dividend Investing

Looking for passive income? Here's everything you need to know about the latest BHP dividend

BHP released its FY 2024 results and revealed its latest dividend payout today.

Read more »