One day, CBA shares will go down. Here's how to keep it from hurting your portfolio

Don't bank on CBA going up forever.

A woman wearing yellow smiles and drinks coffee while on laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price growth has delivered good returns for shareholders in the past 12 months. CBA shares have risen more than 26% in the last year, plus there have been the dividend payments.

It's been a great period of time for the ASX bank share, but there's a big difference between the returns of the shares compared to the performance of the underlying financials of the bank.

It's rare for a bank the size of CBA to deliver capital growth of more than 20% in one year. Unless earnings grow at the same speed as the share price or faster, the price/earnings (P/E) ratio will increase, and the company will appear more expensive.

In my view, today's CBA share price valuation will either need to be justified by higher earnings or else there could be a pullback. Market volatility is completely normal of course, as there are always different buyers and sellers in the market. But what can we do to protect our portfolios from specific stock risk?

Diversification

I believe it's very easy to create diversification within our portfolios.

Diversification can help lower the risk of being too exposed to a particular business or sector.

If CBA was someone's entire portfolio and it dropped 20%, their portfolio would be worth 20% less.

If CBA was only 10% of a person's portfolio, a 20% decline in the CBA share price would only mean a 2% decline in the portfolio value.

Of course, that doesn't mean spreading your capital across Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) because those other banks are in the same industry.

If I were buying individual ASX blue-chip shares, I'd look at names like Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS), Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO), Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) and Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (ASX: SOL) because they all offer different industry exposure to CBA shares.

Go global

An even better strategy to achieve diversification and avoid the risks of being overexposed to CBA shares is to invest in exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

ETFs allow us to buy a basket of shares in a single transaction. Each ETF has a different portfolio, so I think it's worthwhile being selective about which fund to go with.

If I already owned a lot of CBA shares, I wouldn't jump to buy Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) because it has a large allocation to ASX bank shares. I believe there are better options for diversification.

I'd look at globally focused ETFs, which, thanks to the quality of the underlying businesses, can provide both diversification and, hopefully, good returns.

Some of my favourites include VanEck MSCI International Quality ETF (ASX: QUAL), Betashares Global Quality Leaders ETF (ASX: QLTY), BetaShares Global Sustainability Leaders ETF (ASX: ETHI), and Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF (ASX: VGS).

CBA is a great business, but there are plenty of others worth owning too, in my opinion. Choosing compelling global ETFs means we can spread our money across hundreds of businesses.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group, Telstra Group, Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited, and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Vanguard Msci Index International Shares ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Bank Shares

Insider buys $215k of Westpac shares. Should you invest?

Do analysts think you should buy shares in this big four bank like one of its insiders? Let's find out.

Read more »

View from below of a banker jumping for joy in the CBD surrounded by high-rise office buildings.
Bank Shares

Did ANZ shares beat the ASX 200 in 2024?

Was it better to own the index or ANZ shares last year?

Read more »

Woman cheers using credit card online
Bank Shares

Here are the 3 best ASX 200 bank shares of 2024

The banking sector delivered the goods for investors last year. But which shares were best?

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
Bank Shares

2 ASX shares investors should consider keeping on a tight leash

Brokers think several challenges could clamp investment results for these stocks in 2025.

Read more »

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Bank Shares

Why did the CBA share price rocket 37% in 2024?

This banking giant's shares smashed the market in 2024. But why?

Read more »

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Should you buy major ASX bank shares before 2025? The evidence is piling up, and here's what it says

Here’s what I’m seeing with banking stocks as the year comes to a close.

Read more »

a group of four people in a bank setting with one woman serving a customer and the other two male bank workers grouped together over a document.
Bank Shares

Up 22% this year, is this the best ASX 200 bank stock for 2025?

After a sector-wide stellar performance in 2024, I reckon one ASX bank stock will see the momentum continue into the…

Read more »

Man smiling at a laptop because of a rising share price.
Bank Shares

2 strong ASX bank shares to consider before year-end

I think these ASX bank shares could be compelling opportunities in the sector.

Read more »