Why Tesla stock popped ahead of second-quarter deliveries

Tesla's quarterly delivery report may exceed reduced estimates.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have been on the comeback trail recently, and that continued on the first trading day of July. Shares of the leading electric vehicle (EV) maker were higher by 5.5% as of 11:10 a.m. ET Monday morning. The stock is now up by about 18% over the past month.

Today's jump comes just a day before Tesla is expected to report its second-quarter EV delivery data. While estimates have been trending lower, delivery reports from Chinese EV makers today have investors feeling more optimistic about what the American company will say.

The important Chinese EV market

The Chinese EV market has been crucial for Tesla, whose most productive factory is in Shanghai. Today, several Chinese EV makers reported strong June and second-quarter deliveries. That might bode well for what Tesla has to share tomorrow.

Nio, Li Auto, XPeng, and the larger BYD all showed year-over-year growth in battery-electric vehicle (BEV) sales for the quarter. The period seemed to end on a strong note, as Nio delivered a monthly record 21,209 vehicles in June. That was nearly twice what it shipped in June 2023.

Many EV observers have been closely watching the larger BYD, whose BEV volume is more in line with that of Tesla. BYD sold more than 426,000 fully electric vehicles in the second quarter, up about 21% year over year.

Tesla analysts have been lowering estimates for its second-quarter sales, with most recent projections averaging about 420,000 EVs. That would be down from about 466,000 delivered in the prior-year period. It would also be the second quarterly period where BYD outsold Tesla to be the world's largest EV seller.

With China's EV market seemingly recovering, it could result in Tesla beating estimates. Even after that data is released, though, shareholders will want to continue to pay attention to what Tesla says about profit margin when it releases its full second-quarter financial report. If the sales in China are coming from reduced prices, the boost in its shares might be short-lived.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended BYD Company, Nio, and Tesla. Howard Smith has positions in BYD Company, Nio, Tesla, and XPeng. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

A young woman with a ponytail stands at the crossroads, trying to choose between one way or the other.
International Stock News

Best and worst case scenarios this week for global equities: Expert

Here's what the Betashares Chief Economist is expecting.

Read more »

A tech worker wearing a mask holds a computer chip.
International Stock News

Nvidia CEO reveals massive US$1 trillion AI chip opportunity

Nvidia boss Jensen Huang says Nvidia sees a trillion dollar AI chip opportunity ahead.

Read more »

Robot hand and human hand touching the same space on a digital screen, symbolising artificial intelligence.
International Stock News

Microsoft shares slump as investors are split on the AI capex boom

Microsoft’s capital expenditure jumped 66% year on year, driven by aggressive spend on AI infrastructure.

Read more »

red arrow representing a rise of the share price with a man wearing a cape holding it at the top
Share Market News

Goldman Sachs reveals 2026 predictions for S&P 500 and other global markets

What's the outlook?

Read more »

A businesman's hands surround a circular graphic with a United States flag and dollar signs, indicating buying and selling US shares
ETFs

Own IVV ETF? Here are your returns for 2025

US stocks outperformed ASX shares but the stronger Aussie dollar eroded returns for IVV ETF investors.

Read more »

A woman pulls her jumper up over her face, hiding.
International Stock News

Here's how the US Magnificent Seven stocks performed in 2025

Not so magnificent: 5 of the 7 stocks underperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite.

Read more »

the australian flag lies alongside the united states flag on a flat surface.
Share Market News

US stocks vs. ASX shares in 2025

Which market came out on top?

Read more »

A female engineer inspects a printed circuit board for an artificial intelligence (AI) microchip company.
International Stock News

Should you really invest in AI stocks in 2026? Here's what other investors are saying

Is AI headed for a bubble? Or is there still room for growth?

Read more »