What went right and what went wrong for the BHP share price in FY 2024?

BHP shares gave back their first half-year gains and then some in the second half of FY 2024. But why?

| More on:
Three miners looking at a tablet.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price underperformed the benchmark in the financial year just past.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining giant closed out FY 2023 trading for $44.99. On Friday, the last trading day of FY 2024, shares ended the day changing hands for $42.68 apiece.

That saw the BHP share price down 5.1% over the 12 months, significantly trailing the 7.8% gains posted by the ASX 200 over this same period.

Now, this doesn't include the (rounded) $2.35 in fully franked dividends BHP shares delivered over the year.

If we add those back in, the accumulated gains for the BHP share price work out to 0.1%.

Of course if we add dividends back in to the ASX 200 returns, the S&P/ASX 200 Gross Total Return Index (ASX: XJT), which includes all cash dividends reinvested on the ex-dividend date, gained 12.1% over this time.

Here's what went right and what went wrong for BHP over the 2024 financial year.

Headwinds and tailwinds for the BHP share price

Things were looking up for the BHP share price when the first half of FY 2024 wound down.

On 20 December, shares closed the day at $50.72, 16% above current levels.

Now, as you may be aware, iron ore counts as BHP's biggest revenue earner with copper coming in at number two.

A look at how these industrial metals performed gives us some valuable insight into the two distinctly different half years the miners faced.

Iron ore kicked off FY 2023 trading for around US$110 a tonne. On 3 January, the steel-making metal topped US$144 a tonne, helping drive the big surge in the BHP share price.

But amid ongoing weakness in China's property and industrial sectors, the iron ore price dropped to US$100 a tonne in early April and is currently trading for US$106 a tonne.

Copper has been more resilient. The copper price stood at US$8,315 a tonne at the beginning of FY 2024 before hitting near-record highs of US$10,890 in late May. But the copper price, too, has retraced since then, currently fetching US$9,600 a tonne.

Overall this saw the miner performing quite well in the first half of the year.

For the six months to 31 December, BHP reported a 6% year on year increase in revenue to US$27.2 billion.

And underlying profit was flat at US$6.6 billion. Though that did not include two massive exceptional items. Namely its US$2.5 billion impairment of Western Australia Nickel and a US$3.2 billion cost related to the Samarco tailings dam failure in Brazil.

The Anglo American takeover saga

At the end of the day, it's hard to say whether the BHP share price was helped or hindered when the ASX 200 miner's $74 billion takeover offer for global miner Anglo American (LSE: AAL) eventually fell through.

A successful acquisition would have seen BHP become the biggest copper producer on the planet. Though this would have required a big cash splash and some tricky South African asset divestments from Anglo.

Atop Anglo American's copper assets, BHP would also have acquired its Queensland coal assets, including the Grosvenor mine.

Though not taking ownership of Anglo's Grosvenor coal mine may be a mixed blessing. Over the weekend, an underground fire forced the closure of the coking coal mine, which is likely to remain shuttered for at least several months.

On the first day of FY 2025, the BHP share price finished trading at $43.30, up 1.45%.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

'I hate what I have done': Mineral Resources share price down as Ellison laments actions

Managing Director Chris Ellison says he deeply regrets the impact of his 'error of judgement'.

Read more »

A man in shirt and tie uses his mobile phone under water.
Resources Shares

The Lake Resources share price is sinking yet again. Here's why

The longer-term downtrend continues.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

With a P/E ratio of 6, is the Fortescue share price a bargain?

Let’s dig into whether Fortescue shares are good value or not, in my eyes.

Read more »

A man wearing a hard hat and high visibility vest looks out over a vast plain where heavy mining equipment can be seen in the background.
Resources Shares

Down 15% this year, where's the next stop for Rio Tinto shares?

Where to next for the miner?

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Can Pilbara Minerals shares cross the $3 mark?

Lithium stocks continue to split opinion.

Read more »

Female miner smiling in front of a mining vehicle as the Pilbara Minerals share price rises
Resources Shares

'Encouraging signs' for Fortescue shares heading into 2025

This leading investment expert forecasts brighter days ahead for Fortescue shares.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Are Mineral Resources shares now a buy amid CEO Chris Ellison's pending exit?

The company hosts its annual general meeting (AGM) on Thursday.

Read more »

Image from either construction, mining or the oil industry of a friendly worker.
Resources Shares

Overinvested in BHP shares? Here are 2 alternative ASX mining stocks to buy

Let’s dig into some other mining opportunities.

Read more »