Telstra shares: Buy or sell?

Is it time to buy or sell the telco giant's shares? Here's what analysts think.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) shares have been having a rough year.

And while the telco giant's shares have rebound off their multi-year lows, they are still a long way from their recent highs.

Does this make it a good time to invest? Let's see what analysts are saying.

man using a mobile phone

Image source: Getty Images

What are analysts saying about Telstra shares?

Opinion is divided on whether investors should be buying the company's shares at current levels.

For example, Morgans notes that the company's outlook was softer than expected and believes it made the wrong decision to not unlock value by offloading its InfraCo business.

Its analyst, Damien Nguyen, courtesy of The Bull, commented:

The positive outlook for its mobile and enterprise divisions still fell short of expectations. Retaining ownership of its fixed infrastructure business InfraCo rather than selling it prevented unlocking value in the share price. Telstra was recently trading on a higher price/earnings multiple than its 10-year average and when compared to international peers.

Morgans has a reduce rating and $3.00 price target on Telstra's shares.

The bullish view

Analysts at Goldman Sachs don't agree with this view, though. A recent note reveals that the investment bank has a buy rating and $4.25 price target on its shares.

While a touch disappointed with its recent update, the broker remains positive and sees a lot of value in its share price. It said:

Telstra is the incumbent telecom operator in Australia. We believe the low risk earnings (and dividend) growth that Telstra is delivering across FY22-25, underpinned through its mobile business, is attractive. We also believe that Telstra has a meaningful medium term opportunity to crystallise value through commencing the process to monetize its InfraCo Fixed assets – which we estimate could be worth between A$22-33bn. Although there is some debate around the strategic benefits, we see a strong rationale for monetizing the recurring NBN payment stream, given its inflation linked, long duration cash flows could be worth $14.5bn to $17.9bn, with no loss of strategic benefit.

This view has been echoed by analysts at Bell Potter. The broker recently upgraded Telstra's shares to a buy rating with a $4.25 price target. It said:

There is perhaps a lack of catalysts in the near term and we do not expect the company to change its view on not selling part or all of the Infrastructure business in the short to medium term. We do, however, see the FY24 result in August as a potential catalyst of sorts given we expect the company to meet – but not exceed – the guidance with the highlights being continued strong growth in the core Mobile and Infrastructure businesses and signs of some turnaround in Enterprise.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Communication Shares

A young woman in a red polka-dot dress holds an old-fashioned green telephone set in one hand and raises the phone to her ear.
Dividend Investing

What's happening with Telstra's dividend?

Telstra's dividend is looking a little different in 2026.

Read more »

A man holding a mobile phone walks past some buildings
Communication Shares

Aussie Broadband vs Telstra: Which telco stock deserves your dollar?

Two quality stocks, different investment propositions.

Read more »

Excited couple celebrating success while looking at smartphone.
Communication Shares

Here's the latest earnings forecast out to 2030 for Telstra shares

Here’s why Telstra is forecast to have a promising future.

Read more »

a man holds his hand to his chin with a furrowed brow, making an expression of puzzlement or confusion.
Communication Shares

Why did the REA share price fall today?

The REA Group share price fell amid a red day for stocks, but there was another factor, too.

Read more »

Young woman using computer laptop smiling in love showing heart symbol and shape with hands. as she switches from a big telco to Aussie Broadband which is capturing more market share
Communication Shares

3 reasons to buy Telstra shares right now

Steady income, defensive demand, and disciplined execution underpin this buy thesis.

Read more »

A plumber gives the thumbs up.
Communication Shares

More than 100% upside predicted for this online marketplace which is using AI to its advantage

Hipages is enthusiastically adopting artificial intelligence tools, which has the analysts at Shaw and Partners keenly interested.

Read more »

A woman looks excited as she fans out a wad of Aussie $100 notes.
Dividend Investing

If I invest $5,000 in Telstra shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

Dialling in for passive income? Telstra could be a good option.

Read more »

Hand holding Australian dollar (AUD) bills, symbolising ex dividend day. Passive income.
Dividend Investing

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2030 for Telstra shares

Analysts are projecting the business is on track to grow the payout in the years ahead…

Read more »