Where could the Pilbara Minerals share price be in 12 months?

Will the market be kind to this lithium giant? Let's see what analysts are expecting.

| More on:
A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) share price has just endured another red day.

The lithium miner's shares ended the session 2.5% lower at $3.32.

This latest decline means that that lithium giant's shares are now down 30% over the last 12 months.

It also leaves them trading within sight of their 52-week low of $3.10 and a long way from their 52-week high of $5.43.

But what about the next 12 months? Could things be better for the Pilbara Minerals' share price and its shareholders? Let's find out.

Where could the Pilbara Minerals share price be in 12 months?

Firstly, the main driver of the company's share price performance from here will be the lithium price.

If the price of the white metal rebounds strongly, then its shares could hurtle higher. However, the general consensus is that lithium will be staying lower for the foreseeable future.

As a result, the broker community is feeling reasonably apathetic about the Pilbara Minerals share price right now.

For example, in the bear corner, Goldman Sachs is currently tipping its shares as a sell with a $2.80 price target. This implies potential downside of almost 16% for investors from current levels.

UBS is feeling a touch more bearish and has a sell rating and $2.70 price target on its shares, which suggests that they could fall almost 19%.

But there's reason for optimism.

Value could be emerging

The Pilbara Minerals share price has fallen so much recently that some neutral brokers are now seeing a lot of value emerging. This could be good news for its shares over the next 12 months.

One of those brokers is Macquarie. Last month, its analysts reaffirmed their neutral rating and $4.20 price target on the company's shares.

This price target implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors from current levels. That's better than the potential returns on offer with some buy-rated shares!

It is a similar story at Morgans. Although the broker downgraded the Pilbara Minerals share price to a hold rating in April, its price target of $4.10 is now materially higher than where its shares trade. So much so, investors would generate a 23% return if its shares were to rise to that level.

Unfortunately, it is impossible to say with certainty where the lithium giant's share price will be in 12 months. But there's certainly potential for it to be meaningfully higher than where it trades today. But conversely, as you can see above, it could also be materially lower. Time will ultimately tell which brokers have made the right call.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Five happy miners standing next to each other representing ASX coal mining shares which some brokers say could pay big dividends this year
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares: Best 5 of a weak bunch in 2024

Only one All Ords lithium stock really impressed investors last year with a near 90% share price gain.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Why did the BHP share price crash 21% in 2024?

This mining giant had a disappointing year. Will things be better in 2025?

Read more »

a man holds his arms out and shrugs his shoulders as if indicating he doesn't know the answer to a question he's been asked.
Materials Shares

Why did the Pilbara Minerals share price crash 45% in 2024?

Why were investors selling off this lithium giant this year? Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

How much could $5,000 invested in BHP shares be worth in a year?

Here's what one leading broker believes could happen with this miner's shares next year.

Read more »

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Materials Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX lithium stock could rocket 90%+ in 2025

Let's see why the broker is bullish on this lithium developer.

Read more »

A female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

Forget Fortescue shares and buy this ASX iron ore stock

Bell Potter thinks this iron ore miner could deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Are ASX lithium shares prime real estate for value hunters?

Can these stocks recharge returns for investors?

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Are Rio Tinto shares a buy for its lithium plans?

Let's see what one leading broker is saying about the mining giant.

Read more »