This ASX 200 share still looks cheap to me. But don't just take my word for it!

I'm bullish about the earnings growth outlook for this stock.

| More on:
A young boy points and smiles as he eats fried chicken.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

There's one S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) share that looks really cheap to me, and I'm not the only one who believes it has good growth potential.

Collins Foods Ltd (ASX: CKF) is a large franchisee of KFC outlets in Australia, Germany and the Netherlands. It also has a relatively small network of Taco Bells in Australia.

The chart below shows that Collins Foods share price has dropped more than 20% since January 2024. A lower share price is part of the reason why I think it's cheap, but it's also the appealing price/earnings (P/E) ratio and potential growth rate.

So, let's look at what makes this ASX 200 share seem such a bargain, in my opinion.

Low forward earnings multiple

I'm very attracted to businesses where the P/E ratio is low, but earnings are compounding at a pleasing rate.

Collins Foods' most recent result showed good same-store sales (SSS) growth and an ongoing increase in its store network, generating pleasing total revenue growth and profit growth.

During the FY24 first-half period, KFC Australia saw SSS growth of 6.6% and KFC Europe SSS growth was 8.8%. KFC Australia expects to open nine to 12 new restaurants in FY24, while KFC Europe is expected to see another three stores open in the FY24 second half.

Collins Foods' continuing operations HY24 revenue grew by 14.3% to $696.5 million, and the underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) rose by 28.7% to $31.2 million.

The broker UBS thinks the ASX 200 share could generate earnings per share (EPS) of 53 cents in FY24, which would put it at 18x forward earnings.

But profit could be much better than that. The broker UBS has projected EPS of 79 cents for FY26, 92 cents for FY27, and $1.03 for FY28. That implies profit could also double over the next four years, which could make the FY24 P/E ratio of 18 very good value, in my opinion.

UBS has a price target of $10.95 on Collins Foods shares, which implies a possible rise of 15% over the next year, though the broker only rates the ASX 200 stock as neutral right now.

Foolish takeaway

I've put my money where my mouth is and recently bought Collins Foods shares for my own portfolio.

I think it's a cheap growth stock and can provide good dividend income. UBS' predictions suggest it could pay a grossed-up dividend yield of 4.4% for FY24 and 9.4% in FY28.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Collins Foods. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Collins Foods. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Growth Shares

A smiling travel agent sitting at her desk working for Corporate Travel Management
Growth Shares

My 2 best ASX growth shares to buy in November

Growth continues to catch the market's attention.

Read more »

a man looks down at his phone with a look of happy surprise on his face as though he is thrilled with good news.
Growth Shares

Buy these ASX growth shares for 16% to 25% returns

Analysts are saying good things about these buy-rated shares.

Read more »

two children squat down in the dirt with gardening tools and a watering can wearing denim overalls and smiling very sweetly.
Growth Shares

How to maximise $10,000 by investing in 2 ASX growth shares

Here are my best growth ideas on the ASX right now.

Read more »

A man sees some good news on his phone and gives a little cheer.
Growth Shares

These ASX 200 growth shares could rise 50% to 60%

Big returns could be on offer from these growing companies according to analysts.

Read more »

Sports fans looking at smart phone representing surging pointsbet share price
Growth Shares

Up 111% in six months, this soaring ASX share is backed to keep rising

One fund manager thinks this ASX growth share can continue its phoenix performance.

Read more »

a happy investor with a wide smile points to a graph that shows an upward trending share price
Growth Shares

These ASX growth shares are being tipped to smash the market

Returns of 14% to 68% could be on the cards for buyers of these shares according to brokers.

Read more »

A young male ASX investor raises his clenched fists in excitement because of rising ASX share prices today
Growth Shares

These ASX 200 growth shares could rise 50% to 70%

Analysts are predicting these stocks to rise materially from current levels.

Read more »

A young boy sits on his father's shoulders as they flex their muscles at sunrise on a beach
Growth Shares

2 ASX 300 growth shares with 'strong momentum' this fund manager says are buys

These two stocks have plenty of growth potential, according to experts.

Read more »