Here's the Coles share price I would buy at

I'd be happy to buy Coles… at the right price.

| More on:
A man in a supermarket strikes an unlikely pose while pushing a trolley, lifting both legs sideways off the ground and looking mildly rattled with a wide-mouthed expression.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) shares are a popular investment on the ASX. That's understandable. After all, Coles is one of the most prominent businesses in the country, given that it runs the nation's second-largest network of supermarket grocery stores.

Coles is, in my view, a relatively defensive company. It has a durable earnings base and a solid and reliable dividend track record. Despite this, the Coles share price has displayed significant volatility since it was listed on the ASX in its own right back in late 2018.

To illustrate, Coles shares have traded between $12.50 and $19 over the past five years. Today, the company is priced smack bang in the middle of this range. At the close of trading on Wednesday, it was asking $16.11 a share.

Take a look at all this for yourself here:

As we've covered before here at the Fool, I find Coles appealing for a number of reasons. This stock's dividend track record, as well as its defensive nature, are two things I tend to look for in an ASX share.

But finding a quality company is only half the investment process. As the late great Charlie Munger once said, "No matter how wonderful a business is, it's not worth an infinite price."

So, what price would I be happy to buy Coles shares at today?

What price would make me buy Coles shares?

Well, when it comes to a dividend payer like Coles, I like to gauge an investing case by using the dividend yield. As any good investor knows, a company's dividend yield has an inverse relationship with its share price.

Because of this relationship, in Coles' case, we can use the dividend yield to determine what has historically been a good investment price.

Right now, Coles has a dividend yield of 4.1%, which includes full franking credits. That's not bad, given that the company was trading at a yield of just 3.53% last June when it was at its last 52-week high of $18.70.

However, it's not quite at a level where I'd be happy to buy. Coles' current 52-week low is $14.82, which was hit back in October last year. At this price, Coles' dividend yield would have been as high as 4.45%.

Now, I'm not waiting for Coles to get back to those levels. But I would become very interested if the company reached around $15 a share. At that price, investors could expect a dividend yield of around 4.4%.

Now, $15 might seem a long way from the current Coles stock price. But given this company's volatile past, I wouldn't be surprised to see it get back there at some point in the next year or two. And if it does, I might just have to buy some shares and hopefully secure a 4.4% dividend yield for my portfolio.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A2 Milk shares rocket 18% on guidance upgrade and big dividend news

The infant formula company is finally going to start paying dividends to shareholders.

Read more »

A man in a suit face palms at the downturn happening with shares today.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is this ASX 300 stock crashing 15% today?

Let's see how this popular stock is performing so far in FY 2025.

Read more »

Happy couple laughing while shopping in supermarket
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Coles shares: Broker says the 'risk-reward is attractive'

Ord Minnett has good things to say about the supermarket giant following its quarterly update.

Read more »

A man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Down 20% this year, can Woolworths shares catch a break?

The headlines continue this week.

Read more »

A man looks sadly away from his computer screen as he holds a slice of pizza in his hand with an open pizza box in front of him on his desk.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

3 reasons this expert is selling Domino's shares now

Down 48% in 2024, why this investing expert recommends selling Domino’s shares.

Read more »

a car driver sits up and looks alert with wide eyes and an expression of concentration while he holds the wheel of a car.
Share Fallers

Why this ASX All Ordinaries stock just crashed 24%!

Investors are punishing the ASX All Ords company today. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

woman holding man's hand as he falls representing ups and downs of ASX investing
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why did this ASX 200 stock just crash 11%?

Investors appear nervous about a $475 million acquisition.

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Earnings Results

Guess which ASX All Ords share is soaring on 21% FY 2024 growth

Investors are piling into the ASX All Ords share today. Let’s find out why.

Read more »