Why did Liontown Resources shares smash the market in April?

This lithium stock was roaring last month. Why did its shares outperform?

| More on:
A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face over these rising Tassal share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) shares avoided the market weakness last month.

In fact, the lithium developer's shares managed to surge 6% despite the market dropping 3% over the period.

Why did Liontown shares outperform?

There were a couple of key reasons why the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project owner's shares smashed the market.

One was the release of a positive quarterly update at the end of the month. That update revealed that the project remains on time and budget.

As a result, the company is expecting to produce its first lithium in the middle of this year. And with the project still on budget, management reiterated its belief that it has enough funds to see it through to positive free cash flow.

Liontown's Managing Director, Tony Ottaviano, described the progress the company is making as "tremendous". He said:

The March Quarter saw tremendous progress across all major work fronts at Kathleen Valley, with construction of the process plant, the critical path to first production, being 90 percent complete on an earned value basis. We remain confident in our ability to deliver our Tier-1 lithium project on budget and schedule to first production by mid-2024.

What else?

Also potentially helping Liontown shares outperform last month was that some analysts believe that its shares are dirt cheap.

For example, a recent broker note out of Bell Potter reveals that its analysts remain as bullish as ever and believe the company's shares are undervalued at current levels.

The broker currently has a speculative buy rating and a $1.85 price target on them. This implies a potential upside of approximately 48% from current levels.

This means that a $10,000 investment would turn into almost $15,000 in 12 months if Bell Potter's recommendation proves accurate. Though, it is worth remembering that its speculative buy rating means it is a high-risk option.

Commenting on the company, Bell Potter said:

LTR's 100% owned KV lithium project remains highly strategic in terms of its stage of development, long mine life and location. LTR has offtake contracts with top tier EV and battery OEMs (Ford, LG Energy Solution and Tesla). Hancock Prospecting has a 19.9% interest in LTR. Under our modelled assumptions which includes the drawdown of the $550m debt package and repayment of Ford debt, and under a more conservative spot price scenario, we expect that LTR is fully funded to free cash flow. LTR is an asset development company; our Speculative risk rating recognises this higher level of risk.

Overall, this could make Liontown shares worth considering if you're looking for lithium exposure and have a high tolerance for risk.

Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

Scott just revealed what he believes could be the 'five best ASX stocks' for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 3 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A young man stands facing the camera and scratching his head with the other hand held upwards wondering if he should buy Whitehaven Coal shares
Materials Shares

Liontown shares sink despite big news

Let's see what this lithium miner has announced on Wednesday.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Goldman Sachs upgrades Fortescue shares but downgrades these ASX 200 miners

Let's see which miners the broker likes and doesn't like right now.

Read more »

A man sits at his home desk calculating tax on a calculator.
Materials Shares

$10,000 invested in Core Lithium shares five years ago is now worth…

Core Lithium shares have been on a tremendously wild ride these past five years.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Materials Shares

Is this beaten down lithium share now in the buy zone?

Mineral Resources has sunk amid an array of bad press. Has that created a buying opportunity or is there more…

Read more »

Man jumps for joy in front of a background of a rising stocks graphic.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX lithium stock is jumping 10% on big news

What is getting investors excited today? Let's find out.

Read more »

CSR share price rising asx share price represented my man in hard hat giving thumbs up
Materials Shares

Should I buy Rio Tinto or BHP shares?

Which of these mining giants do analysts think would be the best to buy? Let's find out.

Read more »

A miner stands in front of an excavator at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Why are Boss Energy shares surging 7% higher today?

Boss Energy shares continue their stunning run today.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX mining stock is jumping 11% on big news

Investors are celebrating another big announcement this morning.

Read more »