What does the Bonza collapse mean for Qantas shares?

I'll be keeping an eye on Qantas shares following the collapse of budget airline Bonza.

| More on:
A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) shares gained 1.4% on Tuesday. That was the day news broke that budget airline Bonza was entering voluntary administration.

However, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) airline stock gave back those gains yesterday amid the wider market sell-off. That saw the ASX 200 end the day down 1.2% while Qantas shares also fell 1.2% to $5.83.

While Bonza only commanded a small percentage of the Aussie air travel market share, the company's failure could further cement Qantas' dominant position in Australia, with Virgin as its only serious competitor.

Could Bonza's failure offer tailwinds for Qantas shares?

At the time of writing, it remains uncertain whether Bonza intends to continue operating during the course of its voluntary administration.

As The Guardian reports, during its 15 months of operation, the budget airline flew more than 750,000 passengers across Australia.

As of this year, Bonza had roughly a 2% share of the domestic market. While that's not huge, if Qantas can take over the more profitable part of those flight routes it would result in significant extra annual revenue.

Among the issues that hampered Bonza's operations was its lack of access to Sydney airport. Access that's been jealously guarded by Virgin and Qantas.

According to Tony Webber, CEO of Airline Intelligence & Research and a former chief economist at Qantas (quoted by The Guardian):

The incumbent carriers can be very competitive, particularly Qantas, which is hyper competitive. They realise that to preserve profitability they have to get on the front foot with the competitor.

"You've got to have a strong point of difference to the incumbents if you're going to succeed," Webber added. "Just because an overseas market with a similar population can successfully run four or five carriers, it doesn't mean that will succeed here."

Qantas responds

On Tuesday Qantas issued a release relating to the six overlapping routes Bonza shares with either Jetstar or Qantas. (Bonza flew a total of 36 routes.)

While offering generous alternate flights to impacted Bonza passengers, it also looks like Qantas may be hoping to secure a permanent share of those routes.

"For any customers with a cancelled Bonza flight on a route we operate, to make sure you're not further out of pocket, you can fly with us at no cost where we have seats available," the ASX 200 airline stated.

Qantas added:

We extend our thoughts to our aviation industry colleagues and their families – from pilots and cabin crew to flight planners and operations controllers – who will all feel the impact of today's news.

If Bonza employees would like to discuss recruitment opportunities within Jetstar and Qantas, particularly in specialised fields which are unique to aviation, we've set up a dedicated page on the Jetstar careers website.

Qantas shares are up 15% over the past six months.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

airline crew stands on tarmac under aircraft
Travel Shares

Qantas shares lower on $120m profit hit

The airline operator is being made to pay for decisions it took during the pandemic.

Read more »

Man waiting for his flight and looking at his phone.
Travel Shares

One ASX 200 stock down 50% since July this fund just bought

The fund managers saw value in the ASX 200 stock following a 50% share price plunge.

Read more »

A smiling boy holds a toy plane aloft while a girl watches on from a car near an airport runway.
Travel Shares

Would Warren Buffett buy Qantas shares in December 2024?

Is this airline stock an appealing investment today?

Read more »

Woman on a tablet waiting in for her flight in an airport and looking through a window.
Travel Shares

Buying Qantas shares? You'll need to know this

Qantas shares have been soaring higher in 2024.

Read more »

Woman on a tablet waiting in for her flight in an airport and looking through a window.
Travel Shares

Qantas share price hits turbulence as engineers down tools

Qantas’ engineers are displeased with the results of pay negotiations.

Read more »

A woman ponders a question as she puts money into a piggy bank with a model plane and suitcase nearby.
Travel Shares

Will the Qantas share price take off again in 2025?

The Flying Kangaroo has smashed the market this year. Could it do the same in 2025?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Travel Shares

Why the soaring Qantas share price could be 'difficult to sustain'

The Qantas share price has been a stellar performer in 2024, up 68.7% since 2 January.

Read more »

A woman looks up at a plane flying in the sky with arms outstretched as the Flight Centre share price surges
Travel Shares

Why the Qantas share price can keep flying to new highs

Qantas shares' new record highs are forecast to be broken in 2025 by this top broker.

Read more »