5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

Here's what to expect on the benchmark index today.

Business woman watching stocks and trends while thinking

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had a tough session and dropped deep into the red. The benchmark index fell 1.3% to 7,569.9 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall again

The Australian share market looks set for a subdued session on Thursday following a mixed night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 10 points or 0.15% lower this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.2%, but the S&P 500 fell 0.35% and the Nasdaq tumbled 0.3%. The US market was up significantly before paring its gains late in the day.

Oil prices sink

ASX 200 energy shares including Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a disappointing session after oil prices sank overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 3.4% to US$79.14 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 3.2% to US$83.55 a barrel. Oil prices hit a seven-week low after a surprisingly large increase in stockpiles.

NAB half-year results

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price will be on watch on Thursday when the banking giant releases its half-year results. According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, the broker expects cash earnings (before one-offs) of $3,513 million. This represents a 13% reduction on the prior corresponding period. The consensus estimate is for cash earnings of $3,553 million. Goldman expects NAB to declare an 81 cents per share fully franked interim dividend. This is down 2.4% on last year's interim dividend. The consensus estimate is for NAB to keep its interim dividend flat year on year at 83 cents per share.

Buy Xero shares

The Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO) share price could be great value according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning, the broker has reiterated its conviction buy rating on the cloud accounting platform provider's shares with an improved price target of $156.00. Goldman has upgraded its revenue forecasts in response to changes to Xero's Australian plans.

Gold price charges higher

It looks set to be a good session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price charged higher overnight. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is up 1% to US$2,326.2 an ounce. The precious metal rose after the US Federal Reserve kept rates on hold and suggested that the next move would be a cut.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 30% to 60% in 2025

Analysts are tipping these shares to rise strongly from current levels.

Read more »

Broker Notes

10 of the best ASX shares to buy in 2025

Analysts think these shares are in the buy zone for investors in 2025.

Read more »

Emotional euphoric young woman giving high five to male partner, celebrating family achievement, getting bank loan approval, or financial or investing success.
Share Gainers

Why Bowen Coal, Droneshield, Mesoblast, and St Barbara shares are racing higher today

These shares are ending the week positively. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why Cettire, Digico, KMD, and WiseTech shares are falling today

These shares are out of form on Friday. But why?

Read more »

Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys right now.

Read more »

Broker Notes

Brokers say these ASX growth stocks are top buys

Analysts have good things to say about these shares this month.

Read more »

Share Market News

Bell Potter names 2 of the best ASX 300 stocks to buy in 2025

These could be best buys next year according to the broker.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

On Tuesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) went into the Christmas break with a small gain. The benchmark index rose 0.25%…

Read more »