Why is this ASX 200 energy stock crashing 8% today?

Why are investors hitting the sell button on Friday?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) share price is having a tough finish to the week.

In morning trade, the ASX 200 energy stock is down 8% to $2.03

An oil worker on a tablet with an oil rig in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is this ASX 200 energy stock crashing?

Investors have been heading to the exits on Friday after the energy producer released its quarterly update.

According to the release, total production for the quarter on a net working interest (NWI) basis was 3.11 MMboe. This represents an 18% increase on the previous quarter and was driven by a full period of production from the acquired Who Dat assets.

On a net revenue interest (NRI) basis for Baúna and Who Dat, the ASX 200 energy stock's total production was 2.94 MMboe.

Sales revenue (NRI) for the quarter came in at US$196.6 million. This reflects total sales volumes of 2.74 MMboe.

Why the selling?

While this update may look decent on paper, it was actually below expectations. So much so, that management has been forced to downgrade its guidance for FY 2024.

The release reveals that Karoon Energy's production in FY 2024 is now expected to be between 10.5 MMboe and 12.5 MMboe. This compares to its previous guidance of 11.2 MMboe to 13.5 MMboe.

Management blamed the guidance downgrade on the Who Dat operation. It advised that this reflects lower-than-expected deliverability and oil production being prioritised over gas.

Commenting on the downgrade, the ASX 200 energy stock's CEO and managing director, Dr Julian Fowles, said:

Production on an NRI basis for Who Dat in the quarter was lower than forecast, at 0.78MMboe. This was primarily due to delays in bringing the G2 and G4 wells online, lower well productivity than anticipated and bottlenecks in the G-manifold subsea production system. In addition, production from high-rate gas wells has been curtailed to prioritise oil production in the current low gas price environment, with the US Henry Hub gas price at its lowest level in more than 25 years. In the March 2024 quarter, oil, condensate and NGLs comprised 68% of production, compared to approximately 60% anticipated.

Outlook

Looking ahead, Dr Fowles highlights that the company has a couple of key development projects in the works. He adds:

During the quarter, the Board approved the progression of the Neon Foundation Project into the 'Concept Select' phase (Decision Gate 1), following the identification of two potentially viable development concepts.

The next phase will include further studies on the potential development options and additional work on the two major challenges for the project, being a sub-economic scenario for the low side resource volume outcome and the impact of increasing market contractor rates and development costs. These studies are expected to be completed in early CY25, at which time a decision (Decision Gate 2) will be made whether to move into the next phase of project maturation, the 'Define' phase. Karoon will also continue evaluating the Neon West prospect, which is located two kilometres west of the Neon field, for potential drilling in late CY25.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Coal miners look resigned to the end of mining this resource.
Energy Shares

Why this ASX coal stock is sinking 9% today

Stanmore shares slide following the Middle East ceasefire.

Read more »

Military soldier standing with army land vehicle as helicopters fly overhead.
Energy Shares

Up more than 10-fold over the past year, this ASX small-cap stock just jumped another 33%

A new defence division has investors excited.

Read more »

Worker working on a gas pipeline.
Energy Shares

Guess which ASX 300 energy stock is surging today on big AGL news

Investors are piling into this ASX 300 energy stock on Friday following a deal with AGL.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Energy Shares

Paladin Energy shares are jumping 7% on big news

This uranium producer is outperforming expectations in FY 2026.

Read more »

A sophisticated older lady with shoulder-length grey hair and glasses sits on her couch laughing while looking at her phone
Energy Shares

Paladin Energy hikes FY2026 outlook after Langer Heinrich ramp-up

Paladin Energy lifts its FY2026 uranium production guidance after strong mine performance and revises capital spending outlook.

Read more »

Man wearing green shirt and pink watch flexes his muscle. representing the strength in ASX shares at the moment
Energy Shares

Meridian Energy shares: Strong customer growth in March

Meridian Energy’s March 2026 report reveals strong retail sales, customer growth, and resilient hydro storage.

Read more »

A smiling woman puts fuel into her car at a petrol pump.
Broker Notes

Up 60% in a year, 3 reasons to buy Ampol shares today

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from Ampol’s surging shares. But why?

Read more »

Woman refuelling the gas tank at fuel pump.
Energy Shares

Why Ampol shares just hit a multi-year high as Australia's fuel squeeze deepens

Fuel supply concerns push Ampol shares to multi-year highs.

Read more »