1 ASX 200 mining stock to buy and hold forever

Rio Tinto looks to me like a strong miner to own for the long term.

| More on:
Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining stock Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) is an appealing miner to dig into in my opinion.

The ASX 200 includes many significant mining companies, such as BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG), Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN), and Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS).

I own Fortescue shares, but my optimism about that company is based on its green energy division rather than its iron ore mining. But I would pick Rio Tinto for its mining credentials. Here's why.

Increasing focus on green materials

Rio Tinto makes a lot of profit from iron ore, but I'm pleased to see the business is diversifying its earnings base. It has a sizeable aluminium unit and recently acquired a 50% stake in Matalco for US$738 million to become a leader of recycled aluminium supply in North America.

The ASX 200 mining stock has also been growing its exposure to copper. It owns the Kennecott mine in the United States and attempting to progress the Resolution Copper project. It also owns 66% of the Oyu Tolgoi mine in Mongolia, which is one of the largest copper and gold deposits in the world.

According to Rio Tinto, global demand is expected to rise by between 1.5% to 2.5% due to electrification and increasing renewable energy.

The fund manager L1 thinks there are signs the copper price could move closer to "scarcity pricing" over the next few years for two reasons.

On the demand side, there are electrification tailwinds, incremental data centres and AI-related demand, as well as the potential for global manufacturing activity to ease monetary policy.

L1 also suggests there is constrained supply resulting from the "insufficient number of new major mines planned over the next decade and the significant decline of the existing production base."

I think Rio Tinto is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for copper over the rest of the decade.

The business also has a small exposure to lithium, and I wouldn't be surprised if it increased its exposure to green commodities further in the future.

African iron ore

Rio Tinto is one of the main miners working on the Simandou project in the south-east of Guinea, which is reportedly the world's largest untapped reserve of high-grade iron ore, estimated at over 2 billion tonnes.

I think Rio's diversification away from being a pure Australian iron ore miner is a good move.

Once completed, Simandou is likely to help Rio Tinto reduce costs, strengthen overall production, and enable good cash flow.

Strong commitment to dividends

The ASX 200 mining stock is "committed to maintaining an appropriate balance between cash returns to shareholders and investment in the business, with the intention of maximising long-term shareholder value."

Rio Tinto's board expects total cash returns to shareholders over the longer term to be between 40% and 60% of underlying earnings in aggregate throughout the cycle. It intends to pay additional returns to shareholders in periods of strong earnings and cash generation.

Ideally, I'd buy Rio Tinto shares at an appealing point in the cycle and then hold for the recovery and receive pleasing dividends over time.

Foolish takeaway

Rio Tinto is a strong miner, and I think it could be a good ASX 200 mining share to hold for the long term.

If I could choose, a price under $120 or even under $110 would be preferred – this would also help the long-term dividend yield.

Should you invest $1,000 in Rio Tinto Limited right now?

Before you buy Rio Tinto Limited shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Rio Tinto Limited wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 6 March 2025

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Fortescue. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A smiling miner wearing a high vis vest and yellow hardhat does the thumbs up in front of an open pit copper mine.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 copper stocks jump as the red metal smashes new records

ASX 200 copper stocks are in the spotlight as global copper markets go off the scale.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Why Fortescue shares were just upgraded by UBS

UBS thinks Fortescue’s sell-off has been overdone.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Why is the Mineral Resources share price racing ahead of the ASX 200 on Monday?

Investors are bidding up the Mineral Resources share price on Monday. Is this why?

Read more »

Woman calculating dividends on calculator and working on a laptop.
Resources Shares

$10,000 invested in BHP shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Investors would have done well to heed Warren Buffett’s advice and buy BHP shares five years ago.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Why are ASX copper shares seeing gold today?

Copper prices continue to surge amid uncertainty on global trade.

Read more »

A boy is about to rocket from a copper-coloured field of hay into the sky.
Resources Shares

ASX All Ords copper stock lifts off on $950 million funding news

The ASX All Ords copper miner is grabbing investor attention on Friday.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Pilbara Minerals shares are down 49% in a year. Time to buy?

Pilbara Minerals shares have surged over the past week but remain down 49% in 12 months.

Read more »

Two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto warns share price could slump 11% if this happens

Investors may need to think twice about this proposed idea.

Read more »