I wouldn't touch CBA shares with a 10-foot bargepole!

Or a 3-metre one. Here's why the bank stock doesn't interest me at all at the moment.

| More on:
Man pinching nose and holding other hand up in a stop gesture turning away.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Many people would argue that there is no such thing as intrinsic value for a company or an ASX stock.

The idea is that shares are worth whatever investors are willing to pay for them. Full stop.

Take Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), for example.

The stock has doubled since COVID-19 and has rocketed 21% since late October.

Even after all that the stock pays out a respectable 3.9% dividend yield, which is fully franked no less.

The "no intrinsic value" camp would say that if the bank's business outlook is fine, then it's still not too late to buy now.

I would argue otherwise.

Expensive compared to peers

Even though CBA does have the largest revenue and customer base, you wouldn't get many arguments from any expert that the major four banks are very similar.

And the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio would suggest Commonwealth has the highest valuation out of them all plus Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG).

BankPE ratio
Commonwealth Bank20.4
Macquarie Group18
National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB)14.8
Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)13.6
ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ)12.7
Source: Google Finance

The local banking sector is as static as it gets. 

There isn't a massive group of Australians who are not in the banking system, so growing the industry as a whole is nigh on impossible.

Ever since the government decided that it would not allow further rationalisation of the industry further than four big banks, the market share of each has not changed a great deal.

So if the valuation is already higher than the others, I am reluctant to buy CBA shares right now.

That's not to say I wouldn't buy it in the future, but I would need a significant discount to current levels.

Professional investors unanimously agree with this assessment. According to broking platform CMC Invest, none of the 17 analysts who study Commonwealth Bank rate the stock as a buy at the moment.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has positions in Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Do ANZ shares present better value than other Big Four options?

Here's my take on whether ANZ is a good value investment right now.

Read more »

Happy man at an ATM.
Bank Shares

These ASX bank shares are cashing in on new highs today

Bank stocks are still in vogue.

Read more »

a small child carrying a brief case tries to reach an elevator button outside closed elevator doors.
Bank Shares

Why this top fundie is 'happy to be short' on CBA shares

CBA shares have soared more than 50% in a year, but this fundie thinks the party’s about over.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Bank Shares

Should I dump my holding in CBA shares and buy an ASX S&P 500 tracker instead?

Deciding between CBA and an S&P 500 tracker is a no-brainer for me.

Read more »

Businessman smiles with arms outstretched after receiving good news.
Bank Shares

CBA and Klarna: What a $1.8 billion IPO windfall could mean for shareholders

The bank's ongoing rise continues to defy the bearish crowd.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

$10,000 invested in Westpac shares 12 months ago is now

Would you be smiling now if you invested in the big four bank a year ago? Let's see.

Read more »

a woman wearing the black and yellow corporate colours of a leading bank gazes out the window in thought as she holds a tablet in her hands.
Bank Shares

These 3 headwinds make CBA shares a sell: expert

This leading expert believes now is a good time to take profit on CBA shares. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Are ANZ shares still in the buy zone near 6-month highs

Bank stocks have rallied hard in 2024.

Read more »