I wouldn't touch CBA shares with a 10-foot bargepole!

Or a 3-metre one. Here's why the bank stock doesn't interest me at all at the moment.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Many people would argue that there is no such thing as intrinsic value for a company or an ASX stock.

The idea is that shares are worth whatever investors are willing to pay for them. Full stop.

Take Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), for example.

The stock has doubled since COVID-19 and has rocketed 21% since late October.

Even after all that the stock pays out a respectable 3.9% dividend yield, which is fully franked no less.

The "no intrinsic value" camp would say that if the bank's business outlook is fine, then it's still not too late to buy now.

I would argue otherwise.

Man pinching nose and holding other hand up in a stop gesture turning away.

Image source: Getty Images

Expensive compared to peers

Even though CBA does have the largest revenue and customer base, you wouldn't get many arguments from any expert that the major four banks are very similar.

And the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio would suggest Commonwealth has the highest valuation out of them all plus Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG).

BankPE ratio
Commonwealth Bank20.4
Macquarie Group18
National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB)14.8
Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)13.6
ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ)12.7
Source: Google Finance

The local banking sector is as static as it gets. 

There isn't a massive group of Australians who are not in the banking system, so growing the industry as a whole is nigh on impossible.

Ever since the government decided that it would not allow further rationalisation of the industry further than four big banks, the market share of each has not changed a great deal.

So if the valuation is already higher than the others, I am reluctant to buy CBA shares right now.

That's not to say I wouldn't buy it in the future, but I would need a significant discount to current levels.

Professional investors unanimously agree with this assessment. According to broking platform CMC Invest, none of the 17 analysts who study Commonwealth Bank rate the stock as a buy at the moment.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has positions in Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

If I invest $5,000 in NAB shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

NAB is expected to pay another large dividend in FY27.

Read more »

A man in a business suit and tie places three wooden blocks with the numbers 1, 2, and 3 on them on top of each other.
Bank Shares

3 reasons CBA shares could be worth buying today

Few companies dominate conversations about the Australian share market quite like this one.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Bank Shares

What's next for ANZ shares after expectations-busting results?

The banking giant is trading in the green again today.

Read more »

man looking through binoculars
Bank Shares

Why is everyone talking about the CBA share price this week?

CBA has been in the spotlight this week.

Read more »

A man in a business suit peers through binoculars as two businesswomen stand beside him looking straight ahead at the camera.
Bank Shares

3 Australian bank stocks that could outperform global peers again in 2026 and 2027

These are my three top picks.

Read more »

View from below of a banker jumping for joy in the CBD surrounded by high-rise office buildings.
Bank Shares

Up 19% in 7 weeks, are CBA shares a good buy today?

A leading investment expert delivers his outlook on CBA's surging shares.

Read more »

A man is shocked about the explosion happening out of his brain.
Bank Shares

Forget NAB shares, this ASX fintech stock could double in value

Most brokers see downside for NAB, but upside of up to 185% for this ASX share.

Read more »

A young man looks like he his thinking holding his hand to his chin and gazing off to the side amid a backdrop of hand drawn lightbulbs that are lit up on a chalkboard.
Bank Shares

What next for CBA shares after expectations-busting results?

The banking giant's shares are flying high.

Read more »