Why the Accent share price has jumped 5% and more gains are predicted

This stock is running ahead. Is a broker upgrade the cause?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1) share price has jumped 5% on the day a broker upgraded their rating for the business.

Accent acts as the distributor for a number of large shoe brands including Skechers, Vans, Dr Martens, Hoka, Kappa and plenty more. It's responsible for a few other businesses in Australia including The Athlete's Foot, Glue Store, Nude Lucy and Stylerunner.

A young woman dressed in street clothes leaps happily in the air with the focus on her bright red boots that are front and centre for the camera.

Image source: Getty Images

Broker upgrade

According to reporting by The Australian, the broker Morgan Stanley has become more positive on the ASX retail share.

Morgan Stanley now has an overweight rating on the company, which essentially means a buy, with a price target of $2.45.

A price target is where the broker thinks the share price will be in 12 months from the time of the note or investment rating.

Therefore, Morgan Stanley is suggesting the Accent share price could rise by another 20% from here, which is a sizeable return, particularly when you add the possible dividends that Accent may declare in the next year.

Accent shares recently went ex-dividend, which relates to the half-year dividend payment of 8.5 cents per share.

Is the Accent share price too cheap to ignore?

The Accent share price is down more than 20% from its 52-week high in April 2023, despite its gain today.

Due to this, the company is trading at 17 times FY24's estimated earnings (according to Commsec) and 13 times FY26's estimated earnings, assuming its earnings make a good recovery in FY25 and FY26.

In FY26 it's predicted to pay a grossed-up dividend yield of 10%.

I think it's quite possible the business can grow earnings at a good pace in FY25 and FY26 if the Australian economy remains strong and Accent keeps opening profitable new stores. It could also enlarge its growth runway if it acquires other promising brands. Glue Store is one of the recent additions which seems promising.  

Time will tell if Morgan Stanley is right. I also personally believe in the Accent share opportunity, which is why I'm a shareholder and close to buying more shares.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Accent Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A group of people in a corporate setting do a collective high five.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy Ramsay Health Care shares today

A leading analyst expects Ramsay Health Care shares to keep outperforming in the months ahead.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this ASX 200 stock can rise 38% and pay a 6% dividend yield

Major upside and a generous dividend yield could be on offer with this name.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Is this ASX defence stock the next DroneShield?

Bell Potter thinks this stock could be the next to rocket. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Happy, tablet or doctor in a laboratory with research results or positive feedback after medical data analysis. Smile, vaccine or healthcare worker reading or working on futuristic science innovation.
Broker Notes

This ASX healthcare stock could almost double in value according to Bell Potter

The broker believes this stock is making major breakthroughs.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

a miner holds his thumb up as he holds a device in his other hand.
Resources Shares

Experts name 3 ASX mining shares to buy after March sell-off

Investors took profits amid fears the fuel crisis could impact miners' production and earnings.

Read more »

A woman holds her finger to the side of her face and looks upwards as she thinks about something.
Broker Notes

4 ASX shares at 52-week lows: Buy, hold, or sell?

Here's what the experts think.

Read more »

A female athlete in green spandex leaps from one cliff edge to another representing 3 ASX shares that are destined to rise and be great
Broker Notes

Up 57% since February, why Telix shares could keep leaping higher in 2026

A leading analyst believes investors are undervaluing Telix shares. But why?

Read more »