Here's the Rio Tinto dividend forecast through to 2026

Here's what analysts are forecasting for the miner's dividend.

| More on:
A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares have long been a popular option for income investors.

And it isn't hard to understand why.

The mining giant generates billions of dollars in free cash flow each year. It then uses this cash to reward its shareholders with dividend payments.

And while the size of the dividend may change regularly in response to commodity prices, the yields on offer with its shares are usually significantly greater than the market average.

This looks set to be the case again in 2024 following the release of the miner's full-year results.

Last week, Rio Tinto's board released its results and declared a fully franked final dividend per share of US$2.58 per share (A$3.96 per share). This was a 14.7% increase on the prior corresponding period and brought its full-year dividend to US$4.35 per share (A$6.67 per share).

Based on the latest Rio Tinto share price, this equates to yields of 3.2% for its final dividend and 5.4% for the full year.

But what's next for the Rio Tinto dividend?

The good news for income investors is that there could be bigger dividends to come from Rio Tinto in the coming years.

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are now forecasting a modest increase to US$4.39 per share (A$6.73 per share) in FY 2024. This will mean a fully franked 5.45% dividend yield for investors.

A larger increase is expected in FY 2025, with Goldman expecting the miner to pay out US$4.61 per share (A$7.07 per share). If this proves accurate, it would mean a yield of 5.7% for investors.

Finally, in FY 2026, the broker expects the Rio Tinto dividend to be trimmed to US$4.55 per share (A$6.98 per share). This will still mean an attractive fully franked 5.65% dividend yield.

Goldman Sachs has a buy rating and $138.30 price target on the miner's shares.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A woman smiles as she sits on the bus using her phone and listening to music through headphones.
Opinions

2 compelling ASX shares on sale right now

These stocks could be trading at bargain prices.

Read more »

A young woman lifts her red glasses with one hand as she takes a closer look at news about interest rates rising and one expert's surprising recommendation as to which ASX shares to buy
Broker Notes

5 ASX stocks for $5,000 investments in December

Let's find out which shares brokers are tipping as buys right now.

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Share Gainers

3 ASX All Ords shares rocketing over 10% today

Double-digit gains anyone?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why GQG, Novonix, Silex, and Vulcan Energy shares are sinking today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

a young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.
Share Gainers

Why Aussie Broadband, Harvey Norman, HMC, and Web Travel shares are racing higher today

These shares are having a good time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Share Market News

What ASX 200 investors just learned about inflation and interest rates

Here’s what the ABS just reported.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Share Market News

Here's why this ASX pharmaceutical stock just rocketed 70%

This stock has achieved 'the most exciting' milestone of the year.

Read more »