Why I think Lovisa stock is an amazing ASX 200 buy for both dividends and growth

I think this is a sparkling opportunity.

| More on:
A young woman wearing a silver bracelet raises her sunglasses in amazement, indicating positive share price movement in jewellery shares.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX: LOV) stock is a really attractive investment to me for both its dividends and growth. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) share has plenty of pleasing characteristics, which I'll explore in this article.

Lovisa sells affordable jewellery to younger shoppers.

Strong profitable growth

Investors often like to judge a company based on profit and how much it's expected to make. In FY23, on a 52-week comparative basis, Lovisa grew net profit after tax (NPAT) by 20.1% to $68.2 million.

A key part of Lovisa's growth (and that of almost any ASX 200 share) is revenue growth. Store count growth is a large driver of revenue growth. In FY23, Lovisa's revenue rose by 33.1% on a 52-week basis, and the store count grew by 27% (or 172 stores) to 801 stores.

A lot of those new stores have been open for less than a year, so a full 12 months of operations will add to revenue and profit. Opening a new store or entering a new country comes with costs before any revenue flows in. It's an upfront investment but well worth it.

Lovisa entered a number of new markets in FY23, including Hong Kong, Taiwan, Namibia, Botswana, Spain, Italy, Hungry, Romania, UAE and Mexico. In FY24, it's entering markets like China and Vietnam. The longer the growth runway, the more it can help Lovisa stock.

At the end of FY23, it had 195 stores in Australia and New Zealand out of a global total of 801.

The company could open a significant number of potential stores in the next decade.

For now, I'm just working on the premise that Lovisa can roughly double its store count over the next five years. This could boost its revenue and profit by roughly double, particularly if operating leverage can help with its growing store count. This would then be very supportive of Lovisa's stock price, in my opinion.

Great dividends

If revenue and profit can continue to grow at the rate I think it might, there could be a lot of scope for the dividend to keep growing if it sticks to the same dividend payout ratio.

I'd expect capital growth to make up the larger portion of overall returns over the long term from this ASX 200 share. But the dividends are a welcome boost, particularly if we don't want to sell any shares and still benefit from the profit growth.

In FY23, the company paid an annual dividend per share of 69 cents. That translates into a trailing cash yield of 3% and a grossed-up dividend yield of around 4%.

The dividend may not be as strong in FY24 based on the current retail conditions, but by FY26, it could pay an annual dividend per share of 91 cents (according to Commsec). This would be a potential cash yield of 4% or a grossed-up dividend yield of more than 5%.

At the current Lovisa stock price, I'd be happy to buy some shares for the long term and top up on any sell-offs.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Lovisa. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Lovisa. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Lovisa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

Man with diving gear on in a bathtub.
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? Here's why Bunnings is in hot water this week

Wesfarmers is getting some unwanted attention from its Bunnings operations.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Retail Shares

Up 90%, this ASX 200 retail stock's CEO just sold $500,000 worth

What could this mean?

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Retail Shares

Why buying Wesfarmers shares could provide unique lithium exposure

In the last 12 months, the stock has rallied more than 28%.

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
Retail Shares

Why one leading fund manager thinks this fallen ASX All Ords stock is a turnaround buy

This is a bargain stock, according to a leading fundie.

Read more »

a woman wearing fashionable clothes and jewellery checks her phone with a satisfied smile on her face in a luxurous home setting.
Retail Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock just extended its $580 million buyback

Could this draw investor attention to the stock?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? Here's why Bunnings' monster profits are raising eyebrows

Bunnings is the jewel in Wesfarmers’ crown. Some people are questioning whether it should sparkle as much as it does.

Read more »

Woman checking out new laptops.
Retail Shares

Harvey Norman shares see red on ASIC case update

This could put the saga to rest.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Retail Shares

Why this investing expert is cashing in some gains on Wesfarmers shares

The ASX 200 stock is up more than 27% over the past 12 months.

Read more »