Goldman Sachs says these ASX 200 mining shares can rise 20%+

Here are a couple of mining shares that the broker is bullish on.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for some mining sector exposure, then it could be worth checking out the two ASX 200 mining shares listed below.

That's because Goldman Sachs has just put buy ratings on both of these shares. Here's what the broker is saying:

a man in a hard hat and high visibility vest smiles as he stands in the foreground of heavy mining equipment on a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC)

According to the note, Goldman Sachs has a buy rating and trimmed price target of $7.50 on this rare earths producer's shares. This implies potential upside of 28% for investors over the next 12 months.

The broker likes the ASX 200 mining share so much that it has it on its coveted conviction list. Its analysts highlight the company's attractive valuation, the positive outlook for rare earths, and its production growth plans as reasons to buy. It explains:

Undervalued: the stock is trading at ~0.8x NAV (A$7.71/sh) and pricing in US$67/kg NdPr vs. spot at ~US$55/kg and our long run US$83/kg (real $, from 2028) NdPr price forecast. NdPr market balanced over medium term but deficits over long run on higher Chinese supply, but we see upside to current NdPr spot China at ~US$55/kg where we forecast US$75/kg across CY24 based on our SD model. Doubling NdPr production, LYNAS 2025 target (12ktpa NdPr) likely delivered in 2026 but could be upsized to >12ktpa NdPr (not in base case) based on the Mt Weld resource, possible third party feed, and ongoing supportive global government policy:

South32 Ltd (ASX: S32)

Another ASX 200 mining share that has been given the seal of approval by Goldman is South32.

Its analysts have a buy rating and $3.80 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 20% for investors from current levels.

The broker is feeling positive on the company due to the favourable outlook for a number of commodities that it produces. It said:

GS bullish copper, aluminium, zinc and met coal (~65% of S32 NTM EBITDA): leading to improving FCF in 2H FY24 FY25 (yield of ~10%) and forecast strong recovery in S32's EBITDA (+50%) in FY25. In addition, we are bullish on the alumina market with forecast pricing over 2024/2025 of US$375/380/t based on the full curtailment of Kwinana, and we expect San Ciprian and other western world refineries to close, based on our cost curve analysis.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Worker in hard hat in front of pile of scrap metal.
Materials Shares

Why this $1.5 billion ASX stock is jumping 6% today

Production progress lifts IperionX shares in its latest quarterly update.

Read more »

Male building supervisor stands and smiles with his arms crossed at a building site with workers behind him.
Materials Shares

IperionX ramps up 24/7 titanium production in March 2026 quarterly update

IperionX ramps up continuous titanium production and lifts its cash balance, with customer programs progressing and strong US Government backing.

Read more »

A construction worker sits pensively at his desk with his arm propping up his chin as he looks at his laptop computer.
Broker Notes

Are these ASX materials stocks a buy, hold or sell according to Morgans?

Morgans is optimistic on these shares.

Read more »

A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.
Materials Shares

Up 300%: Should you buy PLS shares after its strong update?

Bell Potter has given its verdict on the lithium miner.

Read more »

A colourfully dressed young skydiver wearing heavy gold gloves smiles and gives a thumbs up as he falls through the sky.
Materials Shares

Bell Potter just upgraded its outlook on this ASX materials stock tipping 30% upside

Here's what's behind the renewed confidence.

Read more »

Smiling couple sitting on a couch with laptops fist pump each other.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX iron ore stock could rise 85% (hint, not Fortescue shares)

This stock could be dirt cheap at current levels according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

A group of miners in hard hats sitting in a mine chatting on a break as ASX coal shares perform well today
Materials Shares

This ASX lithium stock is bouncing back today. Here's why

Vulcan shares rise after a key construction milestone at its Lionheart project.

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Materials Shares

IGO shares sink 14%. Here's what just spooked investors?

IGO shares fall as lithium operations offset a strong Nova performance.

Read more »